Sorry, I should have put a "OT" in the subject. I was just curious since I hadn't seen any positive news for the stock or the sector.
Tom Worley <stkguru@bellsouth.net> wrote:Bob, when a stock loses over 90% of its value in less than a year, a dead cat bounce is common. And when you have gone from over $21 to under $2, any "rally" can show impressive returns for the short term period. On the other hand, after this 50% gain you mention, it can still triple, yet leave investors that bought earlier this year with a 15% loss. It has a non-standard fiscal year, ended September. And its Q4 was a disaster with over a $3 per share loss recorded. I would assume, since I will not bother with any research, that they wrote off a lot of stuff in that quarter. Still, forecasts are for losing another dollar during the current year, so doesn't meet any CANSLIM I know of, including its current Group RS of D minus. ----- Original Message ----- From: Bob Raible To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, November 22, 2002 7:35 PMSubject: [CANSLIM] What's with KLIC???
Up over 50% on high volume in two days, not long after a couple of downgrades. What gives?
Tom Worley <stkguru@bellsouth.net> wrote: Hi Ian, With the Republicans in control, defense contractors will benefit for the next two years anyway. It will cover all materials, from boots to guns to software, but the greatest increase in spending will be among technology. I expect this to include both hardware such as smart bombs, cruise missiles and other stand off type weaponry, as well as anti-terrorist software such as network and PC level security. The reorganization of 26 different agencies into the new Homeland Defense agency will likely disrupt normal spending patterns. But then, once again Congress has failed to pass the required budgets for most agencies, and don't plan to do so until after the new Congress reconvenes in January. So most agencies are still operating on last year's budget, so little new spending will develop for some time. ----- Original Message ----- From: Ian To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, November 22, 2002 2:36 AMSubject: Re: [CANSLIM] M
Hi Tom: I guess I was thinking of physical, defense-related security. If you are referring to tech security such as securing networks, PC's etc..., I'm sure they must have all done well today, as today was reminiscent of late 1999 for tech stocks. I was thinking of small companies that are going to benefit from the coming government spending spree. I suspect I am a little early to this game, and need to give it more time to play out. Ian ----- Original Message ----- From: Tom Worley To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Thursday, November 21, 2002 8:52 PMSubject: Re: [CANSLIM] M
Ian, my security stocks did quite nicely today, as did my IT stocks in my VR Fund. ----- Original Message ----- From: Ian To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Thursday, November 21, 2002 4:23 PMSubject: [CANSLIM] M
Is anyone else finding any "NEW" winners emerging from this buying frenzy? It seems to me that several recent rally leaders are rolling over ugly today - HITK, LCI, ACET - while the indices power ahead, propelled by the most heavily shorted isues. It is also baffling to me that the sectors that stand to benefit the most from coming increases in government spending - the defense and security sector - are watching this action from the sideline as well. So am I mising the new leaders of the bull, or is this just shot-term traders using liquidity to squeeze heavily shorted positions? Opinions? Whither 'M'? Ian
Bob Raible
Sunny San Jose,CA
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<P>Sorry, I should have put a "OT" in the subject. I was just curious since I hadn't seen any positive news for the stock or the sector.
<DIV><FONT face=Arial>Bob, when a stock loses over 90% of its value in less than a year, a dead cat bounce is common. And when you have gone from over $21 to under $2, any "rally" can show impressive returns for the short term period. On the other hand, after this 50% gain you mention, it can still triple, yet leave investors that bought earlier this year with a 15% loss.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial>It has a non-standard fiscal year, ended September. And its Q4 was a disaster with over a $3 per share loss recorded. I would assume, since I will not bother with any research, that they wrote off a lot of stuff in that quarter. Still, forecasts are for losing another dollar during the current year, so doesn't meet any CANSLIM I know of, including its current Group RS of D minus.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A title=pscalare@yahoo.com href="mailto:pscalare@yahoo.com">Bob Raible</A> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial>With the Republicans in control, defense contractors will benefit for the next two years anyway. It will cover all materials, from boots to guns to software, but the greatest increase in spending will be among technology. I expect this to include both hardware such as smart bombs, cruise missiles and other stand off type weaponry, as well as anti-terrorist software such as network and PC level security. The reorganization of 26 different agencies into the new Homeland Defense agency will likely disrupt normal spending patterns. But then, once again Congress has failed to pass the required budgets for most agencies, and don't plan to do so until after the new Congress reconvenes in January. So most agencies are still operating on last year's budget, so little new spending will develop for some time.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A title=ianstm@shaw.ca href="mailto:ianstm@shaw.ca">Ian</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Friday, November 22, 2002 2:36 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] M</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Hi Tom:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I guess I was thinking of physical, defense-related security. If you are referring to tech security such as securing networks, PC's etc..., I'm sure they must have all done well today, as today was reminiscent of late 1999 for tech stocks.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I was thinking of small companies that are going to benefit from the coming government spending spree. I suspect I am a little early to this game, and need to give it more time to play out.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, November 21, 2002 4:23 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] M</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Is anyone else finding any "NEW" winners emerging from this buying frenzy?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>It seems to me that several recent rally leaders are rolling over ugly today - HITK, LCI, ACET - while the indices power ahead, propelled by the most heavily shorted isues.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>It is also baffling to me that the sectors that stand to benefit the most from coming increases in government spending - the defense and security sector - are watching this action from the sideline as well.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>So am I mising the new leaders of the bull, or is this just shot-term traders using liquidity to squeeze heavily shorted positions? Opinions? Whither 'M'?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Ian</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE><BR><BR>Bob Raible<BR>Sunny San Jose,CA
<P><BR>
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