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From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest)
To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Subject: canslim-digest V2 #2340
Reply-To: canslim
Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Precedence: bulk
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
X-No-Archive: yes
canslim-digest Sunday, April 21 2002 Volume 02 : Number 2340
In this issue:
Re: [CANSLIM] easi
Re: [CANSLIM] Testing Smart Money Screening Tool
Re: [CANSLIM] Testing Smart Money Screening Tool
Re: [CANSLIM] Broker Issues
Re: [CANSLIM] Broker Issues
Re: [CANSLIM] CANSLIM jc
RE: [CANSLIM] Recommending stocks - my thoughts
RE: [CANSLIM] easi
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 14:21:29 -0400
From: "William King" <wk11@adelphia.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] easi
This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
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charset="Windows-1252"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Thanks again Katherine for your very comprehensive, as usual I notice, =
response.
Bill King
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Katherine Malm=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 2:14 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] easi
You're welcome Bill.
The chart I captured was from a comparison charting feature in =
VectorVest, but you can do similar comparisons at stockcharts.com, MSN, =
or bigCharts. Other charting software such as TC2000 will have this =
feature, and I believe HGS may also has this capability (though someone =
like Tim Fisher, who uses this package can tell you more.)
Here's an example from stockcharts.com (they refer to this as a =
"perfchart").:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/performance/SPSectors.html (there are =
numerous features for period of time for comparison, line vs. bar, etc.)
At BigCharts, use the interactive charting tools. =
http://www.bigcharts.com
At MSN, there is a checkbox that allows you to select the industry =
along with the stock's chart. You can also add additional symbols to get =
a comparative. Make sure you install the components required if you =
haven't visited the charting site before. =
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/charting.asp
Katherine
----- Original Message -----=20
From: William King=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 12:57 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] easi
Katherine,
Thanks for the neat comparative analysis. Where did you do it or is =
it your own software?
Bill King
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Katherine Malm=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 10:26 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] easi
Hi John,
EASI's a tough chart to read. When that happens, I like to put it =
in perspective. Sometimes that means putting the chart itself into a =
longer term view, comparing it to other similar stocks, comparing it to =
a market, and/or comparing it to the industry/sector. This time, I had =
to do *all* of those to make some sense of it. See a comparison at:
http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/A&D+EASI+042102.jpg
The bottom line is that EASI has a history of more volatile moves =
than other similar stocks. Don't get me wrong, the betas on this group =
are *LOW* (EASI=3D(0.03), LMT=3D0.19, LLL=3D0.03, CACI=3D0.63) in =
comparison to stocks like NVDA (beta=3D2.23). The market is favoring low =
beta, low PE, small-mid cap stocks right now, so I'd say sticking to =
stocks like these is a good idea. However, if I pulled up 20 or 30 =
stocks with these characteristics, I'd be inclined to go with the stocks =
with better fundamentals and easier charts.
As a side note, you mentioned in your original analysis that EASI =
was a "top 10 stock in VV." While its VST places it in the top 10 of all =
stocks in the database....look out. VST is a combination of RT (relative =
timing-technical), RS (relative safety-past fundamental+price =
volatility) and RV (relative value-past profitability+future EPS & =
growth), with RT being weighted the highest. When a stock *begins* its =
move, the VST is going to be high, but it won't already be the highest =
in the database. Its the same idea as the IBD rankings. Once a stock has =
a RS of 99, it's already outperformed everything else. Key word there is =
*already.*
Katherine
----- Original Message -----=20
From: John Lessnau=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 8:07 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] easi
The institutional #s at swhchrarts are way different the DGO =
data. DGR in the same industry also looks interesting but seem to have =
a string of failed breakouts after forming what looks like a c&h. I =
guess the key is to look for a BIG jump in volume at breakout.
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Mike Gibbons=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 12:43 AM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] easi
Fools rush in.....
Looking just at the chart for a moment, there could be a =
handle forming, but we need a couple more days for it to be confirmed. =
Volume is drying up nicely, but it would have been nice to see stronger =
volume after the last handle formed. In fact, although this stock has =
risen above the pivot set on 4/2, it didn't truly break out because the =
volume was barely above average - compare to the heavy volume on 4/1 - =
the previous breakout. This suggests that if the handle is completed, =
that any subsequent breakout may be prone to failure also (that almost =
goes without saying at the moment).
This stock looked like a very strong candidate prior to 4/2 =
based on the chart (I bought it in the handle on 3/28 and sold on 4/3 =
for a small profit). I would hesitate before buying it in the handle =
this time and would wait for a real breakout.
I ran the stock through the canslim evaluator =
(www.cwhcharts.com/canslim) and got different results to you - weak =
year-on-year growth for the last three quarters (but a very strong =
recent quarter perhaps reflecting increased orders since 9/11). Also =
institutional ownership at 71%. The stock rated a 7, but could pick up =
an extra point if the handle is completed and the up to down volume =
ratio improves.=20
Others in the group would be able to give a sounder analysis =
of the fundamentals so I won't even attempt to.
Aloha,
Mike Gibbons
Proactive Technologies, LLC
http://www.proactech.com
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Lessnau
Sent: Saturday, April 20, 2002 3:49 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] easi
I've been at it for over one month and still have yet to =
find a true CANSLIM stock. EASI (group:Elec-military Systems) is =
another possibility I have been watching. It looks to be in a long term =
cup starting October 8 and currently it seems to be trying to form a =
handle. =20
Why I like this stock:
Strong and consistent quarterly and annual growth. 26% =
growth rate
40% and growing institutional owner ship (13% management =
ownership)
Military supply company in a time of war.
Nearing the pivot point. 14% off the left side of cup high.
Top 10 rating by Vector Vest.
Low 10 million share float
So how about it? Am I getting closer to finding CANSLIM =
gold?
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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Thanks again Katherine for your very =
comprehensive,=20
as usual I notice, response.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Bill King</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
Malm</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, 2002 =
2:14=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
easi</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>You're welcome Bill.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>The chart I captured was from a comparison charting feature in=20
VectorVest, but you can do similar comparisons at stockcharts.com, =
MSN, or=20
bigCharts. Other charting software such as TC2000 will have this =
feature, and=20
I believe HGS may also has this capability (though someone like Tim =
Fisher,=20
who uses this package can tell you more.)</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Here's an example from stockcharts.com (they refer to this as a=20
"perfchart").:</DIV>
<DIV><A=20
=
href=3D"http://stockcharts.com/charts/performance/SPSectors.html">http://=
stockcharts.com/charts/performance/SPSectors.html</A> (there=20
are numerous features for period of time for comparison, line vs. bar, =
etc.)</DIV>
<DIV>At BigCharts, use the interactive charting tools. <A=20
href=3D"http://www.bigcharts.com">http://www.bigcharts.com</A></DIV>
<DIV>At MSN, there is a checkbox that allows you to select the =
industry along=20
with the stock's chart. You can also add additional symbols to get =
a =20
comparative. Make sure you install the components required if you =
haven't=20
visited the charting site before. <A=20
=
href=3D"http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/charting.asp">http://=
moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/charting.asp</A></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dwk11@adelphia.net =
href=3D"mailto:wk11@adelphia.net">William King</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, 2002 =
12:57=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
easi</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Katherine,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Thanks for the neat comparative =
analysis. Where=20
did you do it or is it your own software?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Bill King</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
Malm</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, =
2002 10:26=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
easi</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>Hi John,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>EASI's a tough chart to read. When that happens, I like to =
put it in=20
perspective. Sometimes that means putting the chart itself into a =
longer=20
term view, comparing it to other similar stocks, comparing it to a =
market,=20
and/or comparing it to the industry/sector. This time, I had to do =
*all*=20
of those to make some sense of it. See a comparison at:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><A=20
=
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/A&D+EASI+042102.jpg">http:/=
/WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/A&D+EASI+042102.jpg</A></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>The bottom line is that EASI has a history of more volatile =
moves=20
than other similar stocks. Don't get me wrong, the betas on this =
group are=20
*LOW* (EASI=3D(0.03), LMT=3D0.19, LLL=3D0.03, CACI=3D0.63) in =
comparison to stocks=20
like NVDA (beta=3D2.23). The market is favoring low beta, low PE, =
small-mid=20
cap stocks right now, so I'd say sticking to stocks like these is =
a good=20
idea. However, if I pulled up 20 or 30 stocks with these =
characteristics,=20
I'd be inclined to go with the stocks with better fundamentals and =
easier=20
charts.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>As a side note, you mentioned in your original analysis that =
EASI was=20
a "top 10 stock in VV." While its VST places it in the top 10 of =
all=20
stocks in the database....look out. VST is a combination of RT =
(relative=20
timing-technical), RS (relative safety-past fundamental+price=20
volatility) and RV (relative value-past profitability+future =
EPS=20
& growth), with RT being weighted the highest. When a stock =
*begins*=20
its move, the VST is going to be high, but it won't already be the =
highest=20
in the database. Its the same idea as the IBD rankings. Once a =
stock has a=20
RS of 99, it's already outperformed everything else. Key word =
there is=20
*already.*</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Djl@lessnau.com href=3D"mailto:jl@lessnau.com">John =
Lessnau</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, =
2002 8:07=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
easi</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>The institutional #s at swhchrarts are way =
different=20
the DGO data. DGR in the same industry also looks =
interesting but=20
seem to have a string of failed breakouts after forming what =
looks like=20
a c&h. I guess the key is to look for a BIG jump in =
volume at=20
breakout.</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: =
5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dmike@proactech.com =
href=3D"mailto:mike@proactech.com">Mike=20
Gibbons</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, =
2002=20
12:43 AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] =
easi</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Fools rush =
in.....</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Looking just at the chart for a =
moment, there=20
could be a handle forming, but we need a couple more days for =
it to be=20
confirmed. Volume is drying up nicely, but it would have been =
nice to=20
see stronger volume after the last handle formed. In fact,=20
although this stock has risen above the pivot set on =
4/2, it=20
didn't truly break out because the volume was barely above =
average -=20
compare to the heavy volume on 4/1 - the previous breakout.=20
This suggests that if the handle is completed, that any=20
subsequent breakout may be prone to failure also (that almost =
goes=20
without saying at the moment).</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>This stock looked like a very =
strong=20
candidate prior to 4/2 based on the chart (I bought it in the =
handle=20
on 3/28 and sold on 4/3 for a small profit). I would hesitate =
before=20
buying it in the handle this time and would wait for a real=20
breakout.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>I ran the stock through the canslim =
evaluator=20
(<A=20
=
href=3D"http://www.cwhcharts.com/canslim">www.cwhcharts.com/canslim</A>) =
and got different results to you - weak year-on-year growth =
for the=20
last three quarters (but a very strong recent quarter perhaps=20
reflecting increased orders since 9/11). Also institutional=20
ownership at 71%. The stock rated a 7, but could pick up =
an extra=20
point if the handle is completed and the up to down volume =
ratio=20
improves. </SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Others in the group would be able =
to give a=20
sounder analysis of the fundamentals so I won't even attempt=20
to.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>Aloha,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Mike Gibbons<BR>Proactive =
Technologies,=20
LLC</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2><A=20
=
href=3D"http://www.proactech.com/">http://www.proactech.com</A></FONT></D=
IV>
<BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of =
</B>John=20
Lessnau<BR><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, April 20, 2002 3:49=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> =
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B>=20
[CANSLIM] easi<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>I've been at it for over one month and =
still have=20
yet to find a true CANSLIM stock. EASI =
(group:Elec-military=20
Systems) is another possibility I have been watching. =
It looks=20
to be in a long term cup starting October 8 =
and currently=20
it seems to be trying to form a handle. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Why I like this stock:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Strong and consistent quarterly and =
annual=20
growth. 26% growth rate</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>40% and growing institutional owner ship =
(13%=20
management ownership)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Military supply company in a time of=20
war.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Nearing the pivot point. 14% off =
the left=20
side of cup high.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Top 10 rating by Vector =
Vest.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Low 10 million share float</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>So how about it? Am I getting =
closer to=20
finding CANSLIM=20
=
gold?</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></B=
LOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
- ------=_NextPart_000_0088_01C1E93F.D4778A60--
- -
- -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
- -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
- -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
------------------------------
Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 15:08:57 -0400
From: "Ira Post" <ip108@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Testing Smart Money Screening Tool
I'm always interested in new screening tools (or old ones I don't know
about). Some questions/comments.
1) Can you do three year earnings instead of 5 with this screen?
2) While debt/equity is a good thing to evaluate, some companies with high
debt are good buys. But high debt is a red light that should be looked at.
3) I'm not big on looking at market capitalization. The reason low market
cap stocks often do better is because their may be more of those stocks that
are a good value and haven't gotten onto many peoples radar. I prefer to
look at the company and its fundamentals regardless of market cap.
- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Warren Keuffel" <wkeuffel@xmission.com>
To: "CANSLIM list" <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 2:08 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Testing Smart Money Screening Tool
> Hey, I signed up for a two week free trial of a financial site run by
> Smart Money. Looking through HTMMIS I created a screen with these
> CANSLIM parameters:
>
> A -- 5 Yr earnings growth % >= 25%
> C -- Quarterly earnings % (compared to same qtr previous year) >= 25%
> I -- Institutional ownership < 40%
> S -- Market Cap < $200M
> S -- Debt as % of total cap < 50%
>
> It gave me back 10 stocks
>
> EMBX
> CNTL
> VLGEA
> FRS
> XNR
> HITK
> PMFG
> HANS
> TRAK
> TOF
>
> I have not looked at the charts for these bad boys, or done any further
> DD, but I am curious what comments you might have about (a) screening in
> this manner; (b) the screening parameters (numbers) I used; and (c)
> which, if any, parameters would you drop, add or change.
>
> Obviously these parameters are very tight but I did that deliberately so
> as to create a hit list of manageable size for this message. For a
> real-world exercise I would loosen the parameters somewhat and conduct
> more DD.
>
> Warren
>
>
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Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 14:13:01 -0600
From: "Patrick Wahl" <pjwahl@attbi.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Testing Smart Money Screening Tool
On 21 Apr 2002 at 12:08, Warren Keuffel wrote:
> A -- 5 Yr earnings growth % >= 25%
> C -- Quarterly earnings % (compared to same qtr previous year) >= 25%
> I -- Institutional ownership < 40%
> S -- Market Cap < $200M
> S -- Debt as % of total cap < 50%
>
> I have not looked at the charts for these bad boys, or done any further DD,
> but I am curious what comments you might have about (a) screening in this
> manner; (b) the screening parameters (numbers) I used; and (c) which, if
> any, parameters would you drop, add or change.
A few thoughts: bump the market cap up to about a billion or so, that isn't that large
these days, unless you are really shooting for just the midget caps, cut the earnings
growth down from 5 years to 1 year, but that is a good percentage to use, and also
add a check for revenue growth, maybe greater than 25%. 5 years is a very long
time to sustain that sort of growth, you are going to filter out a lot of companies with
that time frame. Another thing I do in my quotes plus scan is something like Close
within 20% of 52 week high (or some percentage), and close > the 50 day moving
average, just so your scan isn't kicking out some dogs, performance-wise.
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------------------------------
Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 20:15:49 +0000
From: r.gianfrancesco@att.net
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Broker Issues
The Nasd
> Looking for the name of agency that 'oversee' brokers... or better yet who can
> one complain to if there is a problem?
>
> Thanks,
> Gene
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Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 16:36:26 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Broker Issues
try
http://www.nasdr.com/2100.asp
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message -----
From: <r.gianfrancesco@att.net>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 4:15 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Broker Issues
The Nasd
> Looking for the name of agency that 'oversee' brokers... or better yet who
can
> one complain to if there is a problem?
>
> Thanks,
> Gene
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Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 14:41:48 -0700
From: Harvey Brion <hbrion@ieee.org>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CANSLIM jc
Dimitri, I took John's number of 60 million shares to mean the shares
outstanding or float. I think WON originally liked 25-30 million shares
but appears to have backed away from the restriction to small caps. He
has recently been more receptive to mid and large caps since
institutional buying increased so dramatically in the '90s. I
personally prefer smaller cap stocks.
The 200,000 shares that you mention I believe refers to the average
daily volume which apparently John has not addressed in his screening
criteria.
John, I like your methodology and would also like to know if you've
developed any statistics on its success. -Harvey
Dimitri Katsaros wrote:
> Hello John,
>
> Great introduction! I'm just learning the system and I
> find your checklist jives with most of what I've found
> online at investors.com, in HTMMIS, and 24 Essential
> Lessons.
>
> Of the 13 rules you have there are a couple I'd like
> to comment on/ask you about:
>
> > 1. Number of shares less than 60
> million
>
> Recently, WON has changed his views on market cap....
> he now prefers to see volume of 200,000 or greater
> (for liquidity's sake) rather than cap. Additionally,
> he recommends looking at the small cap vs. big cap
> graph in the mutual funds section to see what the
> market is currently favoring.
>
> > 4. Debt 0
> > 8. MGMT Owns 20+
>
> As to debt, I agree it's a good idea but don't know
> where WON refers to it. As to MGMT ownership, I know
> he stated that there should be a significant amount,
> but never pegged down a number... did you get 20+ from
> somewhere in particular that I missed?
>
> > 11. PE 100-
>
> I'm curious to see where you got this criterion as
> everything I've read by WON indicates that the only
> reason to use PE is if it has gone up 120-130% or more
> since its last pivot as a sell signal. Other than
> that, he seems unconcerned with PE.
>
> Thanks
> Dimitri
>
> =====
> Quiquid latine dictum sit altum viditur
>
> __________________________________________________
> Do You Yahoo!?
> Yahoo! Games - play chess, backgammon, pool and more
> http://games.yahoo.com/
>
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Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 17:59:33 -0400
From: "Duke Miller" <dukemill@tampabay.rr.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Recommending stocks - my thoughts
Well said. Thanks.
Duke
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Dave Cameron
Sent: Saturday, April 20, 2002 11:19 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] Recommending stocks - my thoughts
I tend to agree with what seems to be the majority. But let me chime in
here anyway.
1. I think if people want to post their buys, that's great, as long
as they give reasons behind it. I am mature enough to not just
tailcoat someone's trade. I've lost money (years ago) doing that;
don't plan to again. Its a good way for us all to learn.
2. If people don't want to post their buys, that's fine too. The only
caution I'd make is overvaluing someone's future success based
on their past success. I've seen some comments like "I was up 80%
in 1999, but down 15% in 2001". Take these comments for only what
they are worth, a statement of past performance. Every market is
different, every day is different. What someone did last year isn't
relevant. What they are doing now is.
3. Very few of us "prove" our performance or qualifications. We simply
have to judge whether we can get value from others based on our thoughts
and reasoning that can be helped by other's comments.
I could tell you I was up 140% in 1995 or down 50% in 2000 - and
you'd have no idea whether I was telling the truth or not. (Both
are directionally correct, but exaggerations.) Yet, if anything I
post makes you think more - then I've helped. People like Tom and
Katherine are good at making me think.
4. One of the things I like about this list is that a lot of the
active posters talk in terms of principles or rules. I think the
best value to be had on this list is to learn to think like a
successful stock investor, and then follow through. If one really
learns and thinks and acts, then the confidence level will be higher,
and one will learn when to get in and when to get out - and not be
unduly swayed by other's opinions. In order to be successful at
CANSLIM, I firmly believe one needs the knowledge AND the confidence
that one will be successful. My worst periods have always been when
my confidence is down and my decision making wavers. Anyway... to
me, this type of discussion is much more valuable than "I bought IGT
because..."
=====
Dave Cameron
dfcameron@yahoo.com
__________________________________________________
Do You Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Games - play chess, backgammon, pool and more
http://games.yahoo.com/
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Date: Sun, 21 Apr 2002 18:07:27 -0400
From: "Duke Miller" <dukemill@tampabay.rr.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] easi
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Good observations, Mike.
I find myself using the evaluator all the time now. I run a screen (or
refine the IBD Daily Screen) then put the findings through the
evaluator. Whichever stocks score 7/11, I research further.
FYI: I look very carefully at the actual numbers when using the
Evaluator, because many 5/11's or 6/11's are 7's or 8's if you are
willing to bend a little. For instance, Return on Equity might be
16.89%, thereby earning a "fail"...but darn close enough for me to call
it 17% (assuming Anderson isn't doing the accounting!).
Duke
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Mike Gibbons
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 12:43 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] easi
Fools rush in.....
Looking just at the chart for a moment, there could be a handle forming,
but we need a couple more days for it to be confirmed. Volume is drying
up nicely, but it would have been nice to see stronger volume after the
last handle formed. In fact, although this stock has risen above the
pivot set on 4/2, it didn't truly break out because the volume was
barely above average - compare to the heavy volume on 4/1 - the previous
breakout. This suggests that if the handle is completed, that any
subsequent breakout may be prone to failure also (that almost goes
without saying at the moment).
This stock looked like a very strong candidate prior to 4/2 based on the
chart (I bought it in the handle on 3/28 and sold on 4/3 for a small
profit). I would hesitate before buying it in the handle this time and
would wait for a real breakout.
I ran the stock through the canslim evaluator
(www.cwhcharts.com/canslim) and got different results to you - weak
year-on-year growth for the last three quarters (but a very strong
recent quarter perhaps reflecting increased orders since 9/11). Also
institutional ownership at 71%. The stock rated a 7, but could pick up
an extra point if the handle is completed and the up to down volume
ratio improves.
Others in the group would be able to give a sounder analysis of the
fundamentals so I won't even attempt to.
Aloha,
Mike Gibbons
Proactive Technologies, LLC
http://www.proactech.com <http://www.proactech.com/>
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Lessnau
Sent: Saturday, April 20, 2002 3:49 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] easi
I've been at it for over one month and still have yet to find a true
CANSLIM stock. EASI (group:Elec-military Systems) is another
possibility I have been watching. It looks to be in a long term cup
starting October 8 and currently it seems to be trying to form a
handle.
Why I like this stock:
Strong and consistent quarterly and annual growth. 26% growth rate
40% and growing institutional owner ship (13% management ownership)
Military supply company in a time of war.
Nearing the pivot point. 14% off the left side of cup high.
Top 10 rating by Vector Vest.
Low 10 million share float
So how about it? Am I getting closer to finding CANSLIM gold?
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<META HTTP-EQUIV=3D"Content-Type" CONTENT=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Dus-ascii">
<TITLE>Message</TITLE>
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<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT face=3DArial>Good =
observations,=20
Mike.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT face=3DArial>I find myself =
using the=20
evaluator all the time now. I run a screen (or refine the IBD =
Daily=20
Screen) then put the findings through the evaluator. Whichever =
stocks=20
score 7/11, I research further. </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT face=3DArial>FYI: I look =
very carefully=20
at the actual numbers when using the Evaluator, because many 5/11's or =
6/11's=20
are 7's or 8's if you are willing to bend a little. For =
instance,=20
Return on Equity might be 16.89%, thereby earning a "fail"...but darn =
close=20
enough for me to call it 17% (assuming Anderson isn't doing the=20
accounting!).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT =
face=3DArial>Duke</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D076000122-21042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV></DIV>
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT=20
face=3DTahoma size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]=20
<B>On Behalf Of </B>Mike Gibbons<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, =
2002 12:43=20
AM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> RE: =
[CANSLIM]=20
easi<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Fools rush in.....</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Looking just at the chart for a moment, =
there could=20
be a handle forming, but we need a couple more days for it to be =
confirmed.=20
Volume is drying up nicely, but it would have been nice to see =
stronger volume=20
after the last handle formed. In fact, although this stock has =
risen=20
above the pivot set on 4/2, it didn't truly break out because the =
volume was=20
barely above average - compare to the heavy volume on 4/1 - the =
previous=20
breakout. This suggests that if the handle is completed, that any =
subsequent breakout may be prone to failure also (that almost goes =
without=20
saying at the moment).</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D080291404-21042002>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D080291404-21042002>This=20
stock looked like a very strong candidate prior to 4/2 based on the =
chart (I=20
bought it in the handle on 3/28 and sold on 4/3 for a small profit). I =
would=20
hesitate before buying it in the handle this time and would wait for a =
real=20
breakout.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D080291404-21042002>I=20
ran the stock through the canslim evaluator (<A=20
=
href=3D"http://www.cwhcharts.com/canslim">www.cwhcharts.com/canslim</A>) =
and got=20
different results to you - weak year-on-year growth for the last three =
quarters (but a very strong recent quarter perhaps reflecting =
increased orders=20
since 9/11). Also institutional ownership at 71%. The stock rated =
a 7,=20
but could pick up an extra point if the handle is completed and the up =
to down=20
volume ratio improves. </SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2><SPAN class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002>Others in the group would be able to give a =
sounder=20
analysis of the fundamentals so I won't even attempt =
to.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D080291404-21042002></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>Aloha,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Mike Gibbons<BR>Proactive =
Technologies,=20
LLC</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2><A=20
=
href=3D"http://www.proactech.com/">http://www.proactech.com</A></FONT></D=
IV>
<BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of </B>John=20
Lessnau<BR><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, April 20, 2002 3:49 =
PM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM]=20
easi<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>I've been at it for over one month and still =
have yet to=20
find a true CANSLIM stock. EASI (group:Elec-military Systems) =
is=20
another possibility I have been watching. It looks to be in a =
long=20
term cup starting October 8 and currently it seems to be =
trying=20
to form a handle. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Why I like this stock:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Strong and consistent quarterly and annual =
growth. =20
26% growth rate</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>40% and growing institutional owner ship (13% =
management=20
ownership)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Military supply company in a time of =
war.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Nearing the pivot point. 14% off the left =
side of=20
cup high.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Top 10 rating by Vector Vest.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Low 10 million share float</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>So how about it? Am I getting closer to =
finding=20
CANSLIM gold?</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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