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2001-08-21
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From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest)
To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Subject: canslim-digest V2 #1623
Reply-To: canslim
Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
Precedence: bulk
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
X-No-Archive: yes
canslim-digest Tuesday, August 21 2001 Volume 02 : Number 1623
In this issue:
Re: [CANSLIM] handle
Re: [CANSLIM] handle
Re: [CANSLIM] ot-dow theory
RE: [CANSLIM] Several things
[CANSLIM] Fwd: Re: HGS Mining co
[CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
[CANSLIM] the economy
[CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
Re: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
[CANSLIM] Re: AHMH
Re: [CANSLIM] NASDAQ M
Re: [CANSLIM] NASDAQ M
Re: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
Re: [CANSLIM] Re: AHMH
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Mon, 20 Aug 2001 21:21:24 EDT
From: BIKEAR@aol.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] handle
- --part1_68.130e01da.28b31194_boundary
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Is it a handle that is forming on the stock RMD
- --part1_68.130e01da.28b31194_boundary
Content-Type: text/html; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
<HTML><FONT FACE=arial,helvetica><FONT SIZE=2>Is it a handle that is forming on the stock RMD</FONT></HTML>
- --part1_68.130e01da.28b31194_boundary--
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------------------------------
Date: Mon, 20 Aug 2001 20:09:28 -0600
From: DougC <dzc@qwest.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] handle
- --=====================_11884214==_.ALT
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"; format=flowed
Not sure if that really matters. From the intraday high of 58.96 on 05/09
to the intraday low of 49.65 on 06/15 is only about 16% difference. By
WON's definition RMD is been in a flat base pattern for the past 3 months
after the 05/09 breakout of $9.40 off a 10 week cup. Overall looks like a
great stock. I havent even been looking. This market has been so dull it's
lulled me into not even bothering to keep a watchlist. So thanks for
pointing out RMD. the only thing that does bother me about it is the PE of
63 that DGO shows. Seems high compared to the 5 year growth rate of 40%.
Could make it vulnerable if the markets take another sharp turn down. But
what do I know. Seems some guys are playing these kind of bases in this
choppy unpredictable market for some short term gains and doing very well.
Good luck.
At 09:21 PM 8/20/01 -0400, you wrote:
>Is it a handle that is forming on the stock RMD
- --=====================_11884214==_.ALT
Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii"
<html>
Not sure if that really matters. From the intraday high of 58.96 on 05/09
to the intraday low of 49.65 on 06/15 is only about 16% difference. By
WON's definition RMD is been in a flat base pattern for the past 3 months
after the 05/09 breakout of $9.40 off a 10 week cup. Overall looks like a
great stock. I havent even been looking. This market has been so dull
it's lulled me into not even bothering to keep a watchlist. So thanks for
pointing out RMD. the only thing that does bother me about it is the PE
of 63 that DGO shows. Seems high compared to the 5 year growth rate of
40%. Could make it vulnerable if the markets take another sharp turn
down. But what do I know. Seems some guys are playing these kind of bases
in this choppy unpredictable market for some short term gains and doing
very well. Good luck.<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
At 09:21 PM 8/20/01 -0400, you wrote:<br>
<font face="arial" size=2><blockquote type=cite cite>Is it a handle that
is forming on the stock RMD</font><font face="arial">
</font></blockquote></html>
- --=====================_11884214==_.ALT--
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------------------------------
Date: Mon, 20 Aug 2001 22:28:01 -0700
From: Joe Maguire <firedudejoe@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] ot-dow theory
see if Richard Russell in La Jolla has a site. Best Joe
Bob M wrote:
> any dow theorist's? Anyone know of a good free site?
>
> __________________________________________________
> Do You Yahoo!?
> Make international calls for as low as $.04/minute with Yahoo! Messenger
> http://phonecard.yahoo.com/
>
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 09:03:04 -0500
From: Dave Wulf <DWulf@WBMNet.Com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Several things
For gosh sakes, Tom...sell a stock and buy a new Pea Sea. Regards, DaveW.
> ----------
> From: Tom Worley[SMTP:stkguru@hotmail.com]
> Reply To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
> Sent: Monday, August 20, 2001 7:57 PM
> To: dwulf@n-p-s-inc.com; tbates@wbmnet.com
> Subject: [CANSLIM] Several things
>
> Sorry I have been so quiet for several days, but my aging PC ran out of
> video juice this weekend and is in the hospital for emergency hydrating.
> As
> of an hour or so ago, I finally was able to pick up my emails, but cannot
> reply from there, so must use Hotmail. I will try to check this account
> once
> or twice a day.
>
> ON LLUR:
>
> Thanks, Surindra, for reminding me of James Taylor, my blood pressure was
> a
> little low and needed a quick pick-me-up!! But I do not mind giving him
> credit for convincing me that there is a place in CANSLIM for LLUR, all
> you
> have to do is tilt your head left, and use the trend as the base (of
> course
> also having top grade CS elements, and a good "M"). Robert gave a good
> explanation of LLUR, I only differ with him that it is completely
> un-CANSLIM.
>
> MAXF:
> No, Harvey, I did not add this one to my small cap watch list, nor to my
> virtual reality mutual fund. I have mentioned many times that financials
> are
> one sector I have learned to avoid. Had I added it, tho, I would have said
>
> so at the time I reviewed it.
>
> Until I get my PC working, I will not be able to comment on specific
> charts
> as I have no access to Daily Graphs from work.
>
> Tom Worley
> temporarily at stkguru@hotmail.com
>
> _________________________________________________________________
> Get your FREE download of MSN Explorer at http://explorer.msn.com/intl.asp
>
>
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>
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------------------------------
Date: 21 Aug 2001 07:27:10 -0700
From: "Tim Fisher" <tim@orerockon.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Fwd: Re: HGS Mining co
Got this from HGS mining co. Seems they are going sub. Good price for the
amt of info they provide, IMHO.
>Thanks for showing interest in the HGS Mining Company reports.
>
>The HGS Mining Company reports are a series of stock and group reports,
>compiled using various sources of publicly available data. The HGS Mining
>Company is not an advisory service and you will get absolutely no commentary,
>tips or analysis here.
>
>The reports are generated weekly, generally on Saturday morning. There are
>times when I am out of town, or otherwise unavailable, in which case the
>reports will not be created, but this does not happen to often. You will be
>notified if the report will not be sent or if the report will be late.
>
>The HGS Mining Company reports are available on a subscription basis. The
>reports, in html (or web) format, will be sent directly to you at your email
>address. The cost is $2/week or $25/quarter (13 weeks).
>
>Checks may be made out to: Roger Nordstrom (HGS Mining Company is just a name
>not a real company)
>
>and sent to: Roger Nordstrom
> P.O. Box 432
> Elk River, MN 55330
>
>Please include your First and Last name and the email address where you wish
>to receive the reports.
>
>Thanks and have a great day.
>
>Roger
>
>
>The information contained in the reports is presented for informational
>purposes only. The data may be inaccurate and untimely. I am in no way
>recommending that you invest in any of the stocks listed on any reports. Do
>your own research prior to investing a dime and as always, it is your call.
Tim Fisher
Ore-ROCK-On Rockhounding Web Site
Pacific Fishery Biologists Information
mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com
WWW http://OreRockOn.com
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 10:44:39 -0700
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
Ian
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 13:53:41 EDT
From: Spencer48@aol.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
Ian:
It is a BO-the question, though, is whether it will fall back. I
believe, if I were buying the notion of a BO (especially in this market), I
would at least wait to see if it pierces 20 on high volume.
Also, Sales have been declining for two quarters (and the last quarter
they declined at an accelerating pace). Moreover, U/D volume is only 1.0
with an A/D of A. While WON says that this ratio is bullish, I'd like to see
the U/D ratio higher (in effect, it is saying that down volume has been just
as strong as up volume for the past 7 weeks).
Piercing and then bouncing off the 50 DMA does indicate strength, and I
believe it is especially significant that the stock bounced off the 50 while
it was forming the handle on declining volume. But I question whether this
is a "classic" CANSLIM (albeit, you qualified by indicating you were only
looking at the chart).
jans
In a message dated 8/21/2001 1:28:46 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
ianstm@home.com writes:
<< Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
Ian
>>
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 12:43:50 -0600
From: "Patrick Wahl" <pwahl@prodigy.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] the economy
Good overview of the economy by Jim Jubak -
http://moneycentral.msn.com/articles/invest/jubak/7564.asp
Also, at the CBS Marketwatch site, Tom Calandra had an article
indicating there is too much optimism still over the market, and at
least some people think it is due for another drop. Don't have the
link, but its on the frong page of the marketwatch site.
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 12:37:39 -0500
From: "Ricardo Bekin" <rbekin@calmad.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
AHMH (thanks to whoever previously mentioned it here) is also hitting new
52wk highs on good volume
FBC would probably be considered extended, also hitting new highs
- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 12:44 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
> Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
> formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
>
> Ian
>
>
>
> -
> -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
>
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 12:39:29 -0700
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
Yes - I meant 'classic' CANSLIM in chart only. Sales growth is misleading,
as they sold certain cafes and restuarants in Q201. According to
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/010709/chm004.html, y-o-y comparable revenue
growth was a reasonable 15%. Same stores sales increases were also very high
for their industry.
I agree that the resistance at $20 is substantial for 2 reasons:
i - old 52-week high
ii - major pschological resistance barrier
It is nice that $20 is so close to the pivot point ($19.60), as it allows
someone to wait for further confirmation of the breakout.
Really, I just pointed it out because it is a textbook chart example of a
c&h breakout. I suspect that if the tech market were in a bullish trend,
this one would be ignored. If I were to buy it, I would use very tight
trailing stops.
Ian
- ----- Original Message -----
From: <Spencer48@aol.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 10:53 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
> Ian:
>
> It is a BO-the question, though, is whether it will fall back. I
> believe, if I were buying the notion of a BO (especially in this market),
I
> would at least wait to see if it pierces 20 on high volume.
>
> Also, Sales have been declining for two quarters (and the last
quarter
> they declined at an accelerating pace). Moreover, U/D volume is only 1.0
> with an A/D of A. While WON says that this ratio is bullish, I'd like to
see
> the U/D ratio higher (in effect, it is saying that down volume has been
just
> as strong as up volume for the past 7 weeks).
>
> Piercing and then bouncing off the 50 DMA does indicate strength, and
I
> believe it is especially significant that the stock bounced off the 50
while
> it was forming the handle on declining volume. But I question whether
this
> is a "classic" CANSLIM (albeit, you qualified by indicating you were only
> looking at the chart).
>
> jans
>
>
> In a message dated 8/21/2001 1:28:46 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
> ianstm@home.com writes:
>
> << Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
> formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
>
> Ian
> >>
>
> -
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 19:28:39
From: "Ricardo Bekin" <rbekin@hotmail.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
got stopped out of AHMH
that was quick
who DID mention it?
>From: "Ricardo Bekin" <rbekin@calmad.com>
>Reply-To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
>To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
>Subject: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
>Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 12:37:39 -0500
>
>AHMH (thanks to whoever previously mentioned it here) is also hitting new
>52wk highs on good volume
>
>FBC would probably be considered extended, also hitting new highs
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
>To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
>Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 12:44 PM
>Subject: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
>
> > Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
> > formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
> >
> > Ian
> >
> >
> >
> > -
> > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
> > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
> > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
> >
>
>-
>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
>-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
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_________________________________________________________________
Get your FREE download of MSN Explorer at http://explorer.msn.com/intl.asp
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 13:16:57 -0700
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
RI breakout failed, IMHO. It needed to close strongly over $19.60. Not too
surprising in this market.
Ian
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Ian <ianstm@home.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 10:44 AM
Subject: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
> Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
> formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
>
> Ian
>
>
>
> -
> -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 13:41:56 -0700
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Re: AHMH
I believe that I am culpable (see the post below). I first brought AHMH up
to the list on May 17 - during its breakout at $10.20. Sure has had some
crazy volatility since. It seems the only way to get in the big runs is to
get in early, and hang on for some steep peak-price declines. Since the late
April breakout at $8, I think it would have been better to buy selloffs at
support levels than to find little cups and buy the pivot points. This seems
to be true of all the microcaps that have been trending up for the last 4
months - they are doing so with crazy volatility - pivot points are lethal,
support points are much better. JMHO.
Ian
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Ian <ianstm@home.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Thursday, May 17, 2001 8:43 AM
Subject: AHMH - breaking out?
> AHMH does NOT meet WON's $15 stock criteria.
>
> It is what I consider a 'just under the CANSLIM radar' stock - which is
> something that interests me personally as it allows me to benefit from the
> extra safety factor of valuation. (When it works out - it also compounds
the
> gains considerably - MTON at $13 in October is my best recent example).
>
> AHMH has 5-year compounded revenue growth of 58%, and will do in excess of
> $1.50/share this year. The chart looks very attractive to me, and the
volume
> the last 2 days has been strong.
>
> ( Full disclosure - I have a very recent position in the high $9 range.)
>
> I know some of you are interested in these slightly lower priced issues
with
> otherwise CANSLIM characteristics. If not, let me know.
>
> Cheers,
>
> Ian
>
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 16:13:53 -0500
From: Ernie Hill <ernieh@ev1.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] NASDAQ M
It turns out today was interesting. There are no clear support levels
between here and the april lows. Where this decline will end is anybody's
guess. let's hope it is not a free fall. Yes I am hoping and wishing now
that my analysis is wrong! The odds have shifted from rally to further
decline.
E
Ernie Hill wrote:
> FWIW
>
> About a month ago I gave a technical analysis of the NASDAQ index. In
> that analysis I mentioned the importance of the 1860 level. The Naz
> reached an intra-day low of 1862.76 on Friday. In that analysis I said
> the Naz could go as low as 1860 before resuming what my analysis leads
> me to believe is the early stages of a new bull run.
>
> Before I get hammered by Tim and others I am not hoping or wishing the
> market higher I am looking at the Naz with objective technical analysis.
> I will not go into the details of that analysis again it is in the
> archives if anyone wants to review it.
>
> I bring it up now because the Naz has traded right down to that level.
> If the Naz should close significantly below 1860 say 1840 or below this
> would be very damaging from a technical stand point. The next major
> support level would be the April lows. The preferred Elliott Wave count
> suggests the 1860 level will hold. The odds are in favor of a rally. If
> this level does not hold look out below.
>
> Monday should be interesting.
>
> E
>
> -
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 16:28:53 -0700 (PDT)
From: Kent Norman <kent_norman@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] NASDAQ M
Let's get this capitulation thing out of the way so we
can start making money!
Kent Norman
- --- Ernie Hill <ernieh@ev1.net> wrote:
> It turns out today was interesting. There are no
> clear support levels
> between here and the april lows. Where this decline
> will end is anybody's
> guess. let's hope it is not a free fall. Yes I am
> hoping and wishing now
> that my analysis is wrong! The odds have shifted
> from rally to further
> decline.
>
> E
>
> Ernie Hill wrote:
>
> > FWIW
> >
> > About a month ago I gave a technical analysis of
> the NASDAQ index. In
> > that analysis I mentioned the importance of the
> 1860 level. The Naz
> > reached an intra-day low of 1862.76 on Friday. In
> that analysis I said
> > the Naz could go as low as 1860 before resuming
> what my analysis leads
> > me to believe is the early stages of a new bull
> run.
> >
> > Before I get hammered by Tim and others I am not
> hoping or wishing the
> > market higher I am looking at the Naz with
> objective technical analysis.
> > I will not go into the details of that analysis
> again it is in the
> > archives if anyone wants to review it.
> >
> > I bring it up now because the Naz has traded right
> down to that level.
> > If the Naz should close significantly below 1860
> say 1840 or below this
> > would be very damaging from a technical stand
> point. The next major
> > support level would be the April lows. The
> preferred Elliott Wave count
> > suggests the 1860 level will hold. The odds are in
> favor of a rally. If
> > this level does not hold look out below.
> >
> > Monday should be interesting.
> >
> > E
> >
> > -
> > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email
> "majordomo@xmission.com"
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> > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your
> email.
>
>
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email.
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 20:45:19 -0400
From: "Ann Hollingworth" <annholly@mediaone.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
I owned AHMH for a week in July. Not sure whether I mentioned it. Sorry
about your loss.
Ann
- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Ricardo Bekin" <rbekin@hotmail.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 7:28 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
> got stopped out of AHMH
>
> that was quick
>
> who DID mention it?
>
> >From: "Ricardo Bekin" <rbekin@calmad.com>
> >Reply-To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
> >To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
> >Subject: [CANSLIM] AHMH / FBC
> >Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 12:37:39 -0500
> >
> >AHMH (thanks to whoever previously mentioned it here) is also hitting new
> >52wk highs on good volume
> >
> >FBC would probably be considered extended, also hitting new highs
> >
> >----- Original Message -----
> >From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
> >To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
> >Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 12:44 PM
> >Subject: [CANSLIM] RI - 97 80 A B A
> >
> > > Ruby Tuesday appears to be staging a breakout here. A classic chart
> > > formation/volumes. Cleanest looking b/o I've seen in a while.
> > >
> > > Ian
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > -
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 21 Aug 2001 22:59:49 -0400
From: "Dan Forant" <dforant1@nycap.rr.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: AHMH
AHMH from early Aug., on is an awful chart. What possessed anyone to buy
it?? If I bought it, it would have been 8/10, but that's not CANSLIM.
DanF
- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Ian" <ianstm@home.com>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 21, 2001 4:41 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Re: AHMH
> I believe that I am culpable (see the post below). I first brought AHMH up
> to the list on May 17 - during its breakout at $10.20. Sure has had some
> crazy volatility since. It seems the only way to get in the big runs is to
> get in early, and hang on for some steep peak-price declines. Since the
late
> April breakout at $8, I think it would have been better to buy selloffs at
> support levels than to find little cups and buy the pivot points. This
seems
> to be true of all the microcaps that have been trending up for the last 4
> months - they are doing so with crazy volatility - pivot points are
lethal,
> support points are much better. JMHO.
>
>
>
>
> Ian
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Ian <ianstm@home.com>
> To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
> Sent: Thursday, May 17, 2001 8:43 AM
> Subject: AHMH - breaking out?
>
>
> > AHMH does NOT meet WON's $15 stock criteria.
> >
> > It is what I consider a 'just under the CANSLIM radar' stock - which is
> > something that interests me personally as it allows me to benefit from
the
> > extra safety factor of valuation. (When it works out - it also compounds
> the
> > gains considerably - MTON at $13 in October is my best recent example).
> >
> > AHMH has 5-year compounded revenue growth of 58%, and will do in excess
of
> > $1.50/share this year. The chart looks very attractive to me, and the
> volume
> > the last 2 days has been strong.
> >
> > ( Full disclosure - I have a very recent position in the high $9 range.)
> >
> > I know some of you are interested in these slightly lower priced issues
> with
> > otherwise CANSLIM characteristics. If not, let me know.
> >
> > Cheers,
> >
> > Ian
> >
>
>
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------------------------------
End of canslim-digest V2 #1623
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