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Internet Message Format  |  2001-05-15  |  44KB
  1. From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest)
  2. To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
  3. Subject: canslim-digest V2 #1373
  4. Reply-To: canslim
  5. Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
  6. Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com
  7. Precedence: bulk
  8. Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
  9. X-No-Archive: yes
  10.  
  11. canslim-digest        Wednesday, May 16 2001        Volume 02 : Number 1373
  12.  
  13.  
  14.  
  15. In this issue:
  16.  
  17.        RE: [CANSLIM]  ROIL and PXD bo
  18.        Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  19.        RE: [CANSLIM] RYL
  20.        RE: [CANSLIM] RYL
  21.        [CANSLIM] CNTL Breakout
  22.        Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  23.        Re: [CANSLIM] Energy stocks
  24.        [CANSLIM] IGT    &   ROIL
  25.        Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  26.  
  27. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  28.  
  29. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 11:34:52 -0400
  30. From: "Rick Parsons" <RickParsons@Columbus.rr.com>
  31. Subject: RE: [CANSLIM]  ROIL and PXD bo
  32.  
  33. Sorry, I meant the pivot on PXD, not ROIL.
  34.  
  35. Rick
  36.  
  37.  
  38. - -----Original Message-----
  39. From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
  40. [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Rick Parsons
  41. Sent: Wednesday, May 16, 2001 11:18 AM
  42. To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  43. Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ROIL and PXD bo
  44.  
  45.  
  46. Tom,
  47. Where do you see the Pivot in ROIL.
  48.  
  49. Thanks,
  50.  
  51. Rick
  52.  
  53.  
  54. - -----Original Message-----
  55. From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
  56. [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Tom Worley
  57. Sent: Tuesday, May 15, 2001 7:16 PM
  58. To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  59. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] ROIL and PXD bo
  60.  
  61.  
  62. Anna, on ROIL, are you concerned about the forecasts of declines
  63. in earnings of 3% this year and a further decline of 24% next
  64. year?  I realize that 1st qtr already amounts to 37% of the
  65. projected earnings for the entire year, and should they repeat
  66. that in the next three qtrs, earnings will rise 50% instead of
  67. declining. But I presume the analysts have some reason for their
  68. forecasts.
  69.  
  70. On PXD, unless you caught it early today, it's too late as
  71. appears extended 10% over pivot.
  72.  
  73. Tom Worley
  74. stkguru@netside.net
  75.  
  76.  
  77. - ----- Original Message -----
  78. From: <asosis@ca.ibm.com>
  79. To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
  80. Sent: Tuesday, May 15, 2001 10:27 AM
  81. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] "M" + ROIL and PXD bo
  82.  
  83.  
  84.  
  85. I know I know...   This contradiction bothers me....
  86.  
  87. Btw, ROIL and PXD seem to be breaking out.  DISCL: I am in.
  88.  
  89.  
  90.  
  91.  
  92.  
  93. esetser <esetser@covad.net>@lists.xmission.com on 05/15/2001
  94. 10:12:31 AM
  95.  
  96. Please respond to canslim@lists.xmission.com
  97.  
  98. Sent by:  owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
  99.  
  100.  
  101. To:   canslim@lists.xmission.com
  102. cc:
  103. Subject:  Re: [CANSLIM] "M"
  104.  
  105.  
  106. I only looked at the first chart, but it seems to me to
  107. contradict some of
  108. WON's teaching.  You are showing high volume and the price moving
  109. up.  I
  110. find it hard to believe this is indicative of "institutional
  111. selling".  It
  112. seems to me that it is likely to be exactly the opposite!  I
  113. guess my view
  114. is this, if a stock will charge up 15% when the institutions are
  115. showing
  116. selling, then great!, give me stocks that are showing
  117. institutional
  118. selling!!
  119.  
  120.  
  121.  
  122. At 08:45 AM 5/15/01 -0400, you wrote:
  123. >
  124. >Hi Tom and everyone,
  125. >
  126. >I've been trying analyze the data on Thompson's site to figure
  127. out how it
  128. >can be used to aid in stock selection.
  129. >check this out:
  130. >http://iw.thomsonfn.com/iwatch/cgi-bin/iw_ticker?t=WMS&range=7&m
  131. gp=0&hdate
  132. >=&hdate=&x=9&y=10
  133. >
  134. >Hypothetical question: would you buy a stock if you saw this
  135. kind of
  136. >distribution?  This disturbs me and I don't think I would buy.
  137. >The problem is that the majority of breakouts that I have seen
  138. display the
  139. >same kind of pattern.
  140. >Does this really matter?  Maybe not - there is always profit
  141. taking around
  142. >the new highs. Maybe it does matter - we have seen a lot of
  143. failed
  144. >breakouts lately.
  145. >
  146. >Another example: PENN is CS stock - has the fundies and the
  147. chart.  B/O'ed
  148. >on great volume, has been pulling back on lower volume.
  149. >Look at this link:
  150. >http://iw.thomsonfn.com/iwatch/cgi-bin/iw_ticker?t=PENN&range=7&
  151. mgp=0&i=3&h
  152.  
  153. date
  154. >
  155. >&x=9&y=8
  156. >
  157. >According to Thompson's institutions are selling into strength.
  158. I would
  159. >guess that not the selling itself but the relative amount of
  160. selling that
  161. >matters.
  162. >But how do you determine that? Any thoughts?
  163. >
  164. >Another one:
  165. >http://iw.thomsonfn.com/iwatch/cgi-bin/iw_ticker?t=ESI&range=30&
  166. mgp=0&i=3&h
  167.  
  168. date
  169. >
  170. >&x=1&y=9
  171. >Notice how stock rose sharply while institutions were selling.
  172. Compare
  173. >that to the action of the last couple of weeks: supposely
  174. institutions are
  175. >accumulating, but the stock is barely moving.  What do you think
  176. about
  177. this
  178. >one?
  179. >
  180. >Anna
  181. >
  182. >
  183. >-
  184. >-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
  185. >-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
  186. >-"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
  187. >
  188. >
  189.  
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  195.  
  196.  
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  220.  
  221. ------------------------------
  222.  
  223. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 08:46:47 -0700
  224. From: Tim Fisher <Tim@OreRockOn.com>
  225. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  226.  
  227. Downgrades again, seems every time a homebuilder reaches a new high it gets 
  228. downgraded. For this reason and the fact I am probably net negative on my 
  229. homebuilder buys of the past few months I am very gun-shy on the group, and 
  230. have not bot the past several B/Os in the group.
  231.  
  232. P.S. COCO did blow past the pivot this AM, now an official B/O, a bit 
  233. extended here but still buyable IMHO. Also KREM broke out strong on 
  234. earnings today. Lousy chart, long, sloppy cup w/ hvy vol at the bottom and 
  235. right side and no handle. Also watching PPDI closely here, could be an HTF 
  236. or high handle forming. Oh yeah and I didn't see TTEN's B/O mentioned here, 
  237. quite a dramatic move yesterday at the end of the day. I missed it, not 
  238. exactly extended yet ( read it as buyable to about 19.60).
  239.  
  240. Overall this is looking like dart-throwing time to me. I am jacking up 
  241. stops every day and wish I had more cash to invest. I am looking for weak 
  242. holdings to sell and will sell one or two if I can catch one of these 
  243. breakouts.
  244.  
  245. Oh yeah & I just bagged USPH, a lousy 60 shares' worth, first time I can 
  246. recall not being angry at SCH for not fully executing a stop!
  247.  
  248. On 08:00 AM 5/16/01, Perry Stanfield Said:
  249. >What's going on with housing today?  Any other ideas  why my Ryland Group 
  250. >is down 9% this morning?
  251. >
  252. >Have a good day everyone
  253. >
  254. >Perry
  255. >
  256.  
  257. Tim Fisher
  258. Ore-Rock-On and Pacific Fishery Biologists WWW Sites
  259.  
  260. Tim@OreRockOn.com
  261. WWW: http://OreRockOn.com
  262. See naked fish and rocks!
  263.  
  264.  
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  269.  
  270. ------------------------------
  271.  
  272. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 11:57:14 -0400
  273. From: "Dave Rubin" <drubin@i-2000.com>
  274. Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] RYL
  275.  
  276. Bought the RYL on breakout day, sold it today when it violated its pivot on
  277. high volume, to cap my loss at 4%.
  278.  
  279. It may bounce back, but rules are rules...
  280.  
  281. - --
  282. Dave
  283.  
  284.  
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  289.  
  290. ------------------------------
  291.  
  292. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 12:41:42 -0400
  293. From: "Surindra" <surindra@yahoo.com>
  294. Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] RYL
  295.  
  296. builders are down today overall. NHCH earnings and sales are down. 
  297.  
  298. regards
  299.  
  300.  
  301. surindra 
  302.  
  303.  
  304.  
  305.  
  306. - -----Original Message-----
  307. From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
  308. [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Dave Rubin
  309. Sent: Wednesday, May 16, 2001 11:57 AM
  310. To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  311. Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] RYL
  312.  
  313.  
  314. Bought the RYL on breakout day, sold it today when it violated its pivot on
  315. high volume, to cap my loss at 4%.
  316.  
  317. It may bounce back, but rules are rules...
  318.  
  319. - --
  320. Dave
  321.  
  322.  
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  327.  
  328. _________________________________________________________
  329. Do You Yahoo!?
  330. Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com
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  337.  
  338. ------------------------------
  339.  
  340. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 13:07:30 -0400
  341. From: "Surindra" <surindra@yahoo.com>
  342. Subject: [CANSLIM] CNTL Breakout
  343.  
  344. This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
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  695. 892333+vXSnggxNeuOGHI5644osz3rjjj68dAgA7
  696.  
  697. - ------=_NextPart_000_0022_01C0DE09.29CAC380--
  698.  
  699.  
  700. _________________________________________________________
  701. Do You Yahoo!?
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  709.  
  710. ------------------------------
  711.  
  712. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 11:42:35 -0600
  713. From: "Patrick Wahl" <pwahl@prodigy.net>
  714. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  715.  
  716. On 16 May 01, at 8:46, Tim Fisher wrote:
  717.  
  718.  
  719. > P.S. COCO did blow past the pivot this AM, now an official B/O, a bit 
  720. > extended here but still buyable IMHO. Also KREM broke out strong on 
  721. > earnings today. Lousy chart, long, sloppy cup w/ hvy vol at the bottom and 
  722.  
  723. If you take the very narrow view of KREM (soon to be a new 
  724. symbol, KKD I think, moving to NYSE tomorrow), it formed a flag 
  725. about where a handle should go, I guess it also qualifies as at least 
  726. the beginning of a handle.
  727.  
  728. > right side and no handle. Also watching PPDI closely here, could be an HTF 
  729. > or high handle forming. Oh yeah and I didn't see TTEN's B/O mentioned here, 
  730. > quite a dramatic move yesterday at the end of the day. I missed it, not 
  731. > exactly extended yet ( read it as buyable to about 19.60).
  732.  
  733. Energy group as a whole was strong yesterday.  TTEN had 
  734. earnings out last week, P/E is something like 5 or 7 right now, 
  735. apparently some skepticism about their ability to continue to keep 
  736. earnings where they are.   
  737.  
  738. Quite a bit of talk about stocks related to energy and electricity 
  739. lately,  Cramer mentioned SLB and HAL as sure fire bets, I've 
  740. heard FLR and JEC mentioned for power plant building, plus you 
  741. have the oil and gas producers generally doing well.  I think all of 
  742. this qualifies as N, that is, a realization that the US has to commit 
  743. a lot of money to building power plants, and also that there are 
  744. some shortages in natural gas, plus new plants need new supplies 
  745. of natural gas.  We are all used to thinking of tech stocks as 
  746. growth stocks, but I think a few of these energy stocks may qualify 
  747. in the next few years.  Right now som of these are probably too 
  748. light on the C and A to meet canslim criteria.
  749.  
  750.  
  751.  
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  756.  
  757. ------------------------------
  758.  
  759. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 11:04:36 -0700
  760. From: Tim Fisher <Tim@OreRockOn.com>
  761. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Energy stocks
  762.  
  763. JEC is on fire, wish I had caught it a month ago on the B/O from the HTF. 
  764. IMO JEC, TTEN, CPN, POG, and a host of other energy stocks are eminently 
  765. qualified under most or all of the CANSLIM criteria.
  766.  
  767. On 10:42 AM 5/16/01, Patrick Wahl Said:
  768.  
  769. >Energy group as a whole was strong yesterday.  TTEN had
  770. >earnings out last week, P/E is something like 5 or 7 right now,
  771. >apparently some skepticism about their ability to continue to keep
  772. >earnings where they are.
  773. >
  774. >Quite a bit of talk about stocks related to energy and electricity
  775. >lately,  Cramer mentioned SLB and HAL as sure fire bets, I've
  776. >heard FLR and JEC mentioned for power plant building, plus you
  777. >have the oil and gas producers generally doing well.  I think all of
  778. >this qualifies as N, that is, a realization that the US has to commit
  779. >a lot of money to building power plants, and also that there are
  780. >some shortages in natural gas, plus new plants need new supplies
  781. >of natural gas.  We are all used to thinking of tech stocks as
  782. >growth stocks, but I think a few of these energy stocks may qualify
  783. >in the next few years.  Right now som of these are probably too
  784. >light on the C and A to meet canslim criteria.
  785.  
  786.  
  787. Tim Fisher
  788. Ore-Rock-On and Pacific Fishery Biologists WWW Sites
  789.  
  790. Tim@OreRockOn.com
  791. WWW: http://OreRockOn.com
  792. See naked fish and rocks!
  793.  
  794.  
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  798. - -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
  799.  
  800. ------------------------------
  801.  
  802. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 11:04:58 -0700 (PDT)
  803. From: Steve F <stevepdv@yahoo.com>
  804. Subject: [CANSLIM] IGT    &   ROIL
  805.  
  806. Where is the pivot on IGT?    So hard to keep the
  807. disciple when you like a stock and watch it go up
  808. until it hits that pivot.
  809.  
  810. Any comments on ROIL, another on my watch list that
  811. seemed to pass me by today while I was not paying
  812. attention.
  813.  
  814. Steve
  815.  
  816. __________________________________________________
  817. Do You Yahoo!?
  818. Yahoo! Auctions - buy the things you want at great prices
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  825.  
  826. ------------------------------
  827.  
  828. Date: Wed, 16 May 2001 13:26:40 -0400
  829. From: "David Smith" <dsmith44@bellatlantic.net>
  830. Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RYL
  831.  
  832. This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
  833.  
  834. - ------=_NextPart_000_00A5_01C0DE0B.D77EECC0
  835. Content-Type: text/plain;
  836.         charset="iso-8859-1"
  837. Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
  838.  
  839. RE: [CANSLIM] COCO B/OSalomon's downgraded the whole sector this =
  840. morning...
  841.  
  842. Salomon on Homebuilding : Salomon Smith Barney downgrades a host of =
  843. small-cap homebuilding stocks, saying the current excitement in the area =
  844. is short-sighted, as national housing figures are likely to weaken by =
  845. mid-year, if not sooner; believes downside risk in many names now =
  846. outweighs upside potential, and recommends using any continued strength =
  847. in the group to take profits; firm lowers ratings Schuler Homes (SHLR) =
  848. and M.D.C. Holdings (MDC) to OUTPERFORM from BUY; cuts Beazer (BZH), Del =
  849. Webb (WBB), Hovnanian (HOV) and Ryland Group (RYL) to NEUTRAL from =
  850. OUTPERFORM.=20
  851.  
  852.   ----- Original Message -----=20
  853.   From: Perry Stanfield=20
  854.   To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  855.   Sent: Wednesday, May 16, 2001 11:00 AM
  856.   Subject: [CANSLIM] RYL
  857.  
  858.   What's going on with housing today?  Any other ideas  why my Ryland =
  859. Group is down 9% this morning? =20
  860.  
  861.   Have a good day everyone
  862.  
  863.   Perry
  864.  
  865. - ------=_NextPart_000_00A5_01C0DE0B.D77EECC0
  866. Content-Type: text/html;
  867.         charset="iso-8859-1"
  868. Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
  869.  
  870. <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
  871. <HTML><HEAD><TITLE>RE: [CANSLIM] COCO B/O</TITLE>
  872. <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
  873. charset=3Diso-8859-1">
  874. <META content=3D"MSHTML 5.50.4611.1300" name=3DGENERATOR>
  875. <STYLE></STYLE>
  876. </HEAD>
  877. <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
  878. <DIV>
  879. <P><SPAN class=3Dnormal><FONT size=3D2>Salomon's downgraded the whole =
  880. sector this=20
  881. morning...</FONT></SPAN></P>
  882. <P><SPAN class=3Dnormal><FONT size=3D2>Salomon on Homebuilding : Salomon =
  883. Smith=20
  884. Barney <STRONG>downgrades</STRONG> a host of small-cap homebuilding =
  885. stocks,=20
  886. saying the current excitement in the area is short-sighted, as =
  887. national=20
  888. housing figures are likely to weaken by mid-year, if not sooner; =
  889. believes=20
  890. downside risk in many names now outweighs upside potential, and =
  891. recommends using=20
  892. any continued strength in the group to take profits; firm lowers ratings =
  893. Schuler=20
  894. Homes (SHLR) and M.D.C. Holdings (MDC) to OUTPERFORM from BUY; cuts =
  895. Beazer=20
  896. (BZH), Del Webb (WBB), Hovnanian (HOV) and Ryland Group (RYL) to NEUTRAL =
  897. from=20
  898. OUTPERFORM. </FONT></SPAN></P></DIV>
  899. <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
  900. style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
  901. BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  902.   <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  903.   <DIV=20
  904.   style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
  905. black"><B>From:</B>=20
  906.   <A title=3Dmpstan@home.com href=3D"mailto:mpstan@home.com">Perry =
  907. Stanfield</A>=20
  908.   </DIV>
  909.   <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
  910. title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  911.   =
  912. href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
  913.  </DIV>
  914.   <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, May 16, 2001 =
  915. 11:00=20
  916.   AM</DIV>
  917.   <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] RYL</DIV>
  918.   <DIV><BR></DIV>
  919.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2>What's going on with housing today?  Any =
  920. other ideas=20
  921.    why my Ryland Group is down 9% this morning?  =
  922. </FONT></DIV>
  923.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
  924.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Have a good day everyone</FONT></DIV>
  925.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
  926.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Perry</FONT></DIV>
  927.   <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
  928.  
  929. - ------=_NextPart_000_00A5_01C0DE0B.D77EECC0--
  930.  
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  935.  
  936. ------------------------------
  937.  
  938. End of canslim-digest V2 #1373
  939. ******************************
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