home
***
CD-ROM
|
disk
|
FTP
|
other
***
search
/
ftp.xmission.com
/
2014.06.ftp.xmission.com.tar
/
ftp.xmission.com
/
pub
/
lists
/
canslim
/
archive
/
v01.n295
< prev
next >
Wrap
Internet Message Format
|
1997-09-15
|
41KB
From: canslim-owner@xmission.com (canslim Digest)
To: canslim-digest@xmission.com
Subject: canslim Digest V1 #295
Reply-To: canslim@xmission.com
Sender: canslim-owner@xmission.com
Errors-To: canslim-owner@xmission.com
Precedence:
canslim Digest Monday, September 15 1997 Volume 01 : Number 295
In this issue:
Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Re: [CANSLIM] RE: IPIC
Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Re: [CANSLIM] RE: IPIC
Re: [CANSLIM] The Bear has scratched on my front door.
[CANSLIM] a question about margin
Re: [CANSLIM] CELL (BrightPoint)
Re: [CANSLIM] UTI - Why?
Re: [CANSLIM] Safety Components (ABAG)
[CANSLIM] SOCR
Re: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Re: [CANSLIM] SOCR
Re: [CANSLIM] eMail issues
[CANSLIM] MSON - Non-Marginable
[CANSLIM] Economic Calendar, week of Sept 15, 1997
[CANSLIM] Earnings/Revenues Disappointments warnings
Re: [CANSLIM] MSON - Non-Marginable
[CANSLIM] ACTC - Applied Cellular
Re: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
See the end of the digest for information on subscribing to the canslim
or canslim-digest mailing lists and on how to retrieve back issues.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:38:29 -0700
From: Jerry Sze <jerryz@orchidcapital.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Ron,
Thanks for the info, one source for Industry Group might be from PitBull
Investor, in addition to their PB stock picking books, they also offer
an industry group listing. May be someone from CANSLIM-list has tried
it?
For users of Telescan, group components are available, while I question
the assignment for some of the stocks, it still beats building groups
from scratch as DailyGraphs is proposing.
Jerry
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:50:14 -0400
From: Connie Mack Rea <rea1@dp.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RE: IPIC
- --------------2F725D80FB9B35272BC93615
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Gess Shankar wrote:
> On 15 Sep 97 at 9:41, Connie Mack Rea wrote:
>
> >
> > Do not take any action on IPIC. Believe they have had to recall
> > couple of products.
> >
>
> Why no action? Already profitable as a short trade. I expect the
> price to be 15 1/2 tomorrow when the Redux recall hits the papers.
> Not CANSLIM by any means, though.
>
> Gess
Gess--
Technicals were weird on IPIC. Mine gave a buy on Friday. I set up my
order for Monday.
Looked over the stock this morning just to be sure I had the stops
staggered right. Nothing amiss. So I posted.
Not the trusting type, I always tape conversations with brokers,
especially when I have staggered buys|sells. When I called to make the
tape, I asked for any pre-market news. He said he hadn't seen any.
I have a schedule of questions--six to be exact--that I always clear
before cutting the transaction loose. One of my checks is to get a
bid|ask. Christ! There is almost a 3 point difference. That's
poison, whether up or down. Before I can get to the net for a search,
CNBC is covering the recall.
If you got off a short, Gess, you're a good man. How did you get one
off? At what price? Or were you just commenting?
Connie Mack
- --------------2F725D80FB9B35272BC93615
Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
<HTML>
Gess Shankar wrote:
<BLOCKQUOTE TYPE=CITE>On 15 Sep 97 at 9:41, Connie Mack Rea wrote:
<P>>
<BR>> Do not take any action on IPIC. Believe they have had to recall
<BR>> couple of products.
<BR>>
<P>Why no action? Already profitable as a short trade. I expect the
<BR>price to be 15 1/2 tomorrow when the Redux recall hits the papers.
<BR>Not CANSLIM by any means, though.
<P>Gess</BLOCKQUOTE>
<B>Gess--</B><B></B>
<P><B>Technicals were weird on IPIC. Mine gave a buy on Friday.
I set up my order for Monday.</B><B></B>
<P><B>Looked over the stock this morning just to be sure I had the stops
staggered right. Nothing amiss. So I posted.</B><B></B>
<P><B>Not the trusting type, I always tape conversations with brokers,
especially when I have staggered buys|sells. When I called to make
the tape, I asked for any pre-market news. He said he hadn't seen
any.</B><B></B>
<P><B>I have a schedule of questions--six to be exact--that I always clear
before cutting the transaction loose. One of my checks is to get
a bid|ask. Christ! There is almost a 3 point difference.
That's poison, whether up or down. Before I can get to the net for
a search, CNBC is covering the recall.</B><B></B>
<P><B>If you got off a short, Gess, you're a good man. How did you
get one off? At what price? Or were you just commenting?</B><B></B>
<P><B>Connie Mack</B></HTML>
- --------------2F725D80FB9B35272BC93615--
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 13:28:59 -0500
From: "Gess Shankar" <gess@earthchannel.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
On 15 Sep 97 at 8:50, Jerry Sze wrote:
> Hi there,
>
> How can I find out the stocks making up each of the indutry groups?
> For example, what is in the Elec-Semiconductor Equip?
>
http://quote.yahoo.com
Profiles of stocks also have the link to the industry and sub-group.
They are not the IBD grouping, however.
Gess
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:00:22 -0400
From: Craig Griffin <cagriffin@mindspring.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
O'Neil was talking about bringing back the IBD publication which was either
quarterly or yearly (cost was about $10 I think) that used to list all of
the industry groups. They removed it because they claimed others in the
industry were using their groupings without paying for them (I think this
was possibly - my speculation - that Telescan had started to hurt the sales
of DG - Telescan was basicly using IBD groups for its groups at the time).
Anyhow, as others have said - you can use Telescans groups and I think you
can access them for free on their web pages. Probably as good as any. Take
a look at url ===> http://www.tscn.com/wsc/Industry_Group_Analysis.html
Regards,
Craig
At 08:50 AM 9/15/97 -0700, you wrote:
>Hi there,
>
>How can I find out the stocks making up each of the indutry groups? For
>example, what is in the Elec-Semiconductor Equip?
>
>Thanks,
>Jerry
>
>
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 13:47:52 -0500
From: "Gess Shankar" <gess@earthchannel.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] RE: IPIC
On 15 Sep 97 at 12:50, Connie Mack Rea wrote:
> If you got off a short, Gess, you're a good man. How did you get
> one off? At what price? Or were you just commenting?
>
I cannot take credit for it. I subscribe to a service provided by
DayTraders Online (http://www.daytraders.com). They post calls live,
primarily meant for quick trades (shorts, longs and scalps meant for
people with enough risk capital to buy 1000 or 2000 shares. I wish
I did, but make do with smaller lots). I have found them to be
surprisingly good in calling intraday bottoms and tops of stocks
trading high volume.
The calls are done using a Web chat program and works fast enough to
take advantage of a tick or two. When used with online order-entry
like Datek's et al - it helps you make quick profits, if you can pull
the trigger fast.
IPIC was news in the presession trading. It was also posted in
Briefing.com just before the market opened. So your broker is slow.
It was possible to take profit in both directions.
Gess
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:01:27 -0700
From: Chune Lee <shen@sj.bigger.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] The Bear has scratched on my front door.
Group,
There is an article by Herb Greenberg in today's SF Chronicle
forIomega's drop. It is a razor / razor blade story in which Iomega
holds the patents on the disks and expect to collect from disk sale.
However, a French disk maker Nomai start plans to sell the razor blades
after a German court overturn an injunction against Nomai from doing so.
Brian Annis wrote:
>
> > I have studied the chart for the past three years, huge run up then
> > down. If you mean the run up; it collapsed while the rest of the
> > industry kept going. Other than that please explain.
> > Sam
>
> The expectations and comments posted re current price action of IOM just
> seemed inconsistent with what was visible on a multiyear chart, but had
> (just) dropped off a 1yr chart. While its true that a potential
> resistance level loses strength as time passes, there's nothing magical
> about 1 year, and worth looking at the longer term also, for this and
> other reasons.
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 18:27:18 -0400
From: John Nogueira <noguej01@doc.mssm.edu>
Subject: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
<HTML>
I've been thinking about opening a margin account with Datek and have a
question that I hope someone can answer. (I've been sending messages to
customer support at Datek - but no one ever responds... I wonder if this
has anything to do with the cheap commissions).
<P>The question is, once I open a margin account, am I charged interest
only when my "real cash balance" falls below zero, or always on 50% of
the purchase price of my margineable holdings? For instance, suppose I
have an account balance of $40,000 and buy $10,000 of XYZ. As far as I
understand this, of the $10,000 used to buy XYZ, $5,000 would be my own,
and the other $5000 would be from margin. Now, it would make sense to me
that interest would not be accumulating at this point, since I still have
a positive cash balance. But since I'm not completey sure, I'm basically
asking whether or not I would be charged interest on $5000 used to buy
XYZ.
<P>On another note... today I bought Amazon.com (amzn - a non-canslim stock).
I have been tracking this stock for about 2 weeks now, climbing ever since.
And ever since the favorable review last week by the Motley Fool (<A HREF="http://www.fool.com">www.fool.com</A>),
I had been planning to supplement my Canslim stock(s) with this long-term
hopeful. But I waited. Thinking the sharp run-up would be halted by profit-sharing...
only to watch it jump another 17% on Friday. Darn... right??? But that's
not the end of the story. I was determined to jump aboard. Though I was
still weighed down by the thought of massive profit-taking, I decided that
enough was enough... It's a long term buy - there is no reason to try and
time this purchase. So I jumped aboard this morning. I did the right thing.
<P>Hours later, Amazon.com fell 16% to 37 1/8.
<P>I still think I did the right thing.
<P>Any thoughts?
<P>John Nogueira
<BR> </HTML>
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:55:40 -0700 (PDT)
From: Tim Fisher <tfish@spiritone.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CELL (BrightPoint)
At 01:07 AM 9/14/97 -0400, you wrote:
>Is there anyone out there who closely tracks CELL? Better yet, did
>anyone else BUY off of the last base ($30 range)? It climbed another 10%
>this week on heavy volume (Friday's volume was about 4x ADV). U/D VOL up
>to 1.6. I got in about 5 weeks ago at $29.37 and it's now at $43.87
>(+49%). It's due for a breather, so I'm guessing that it will cool off
>and consolidate in the $40 range.
>
Yeah, bought on the prior breakout a few months back.
>It formed a nice 12-week saucer (shallow cup), but skipped the handle.
>What does this mean?
>
Who cares, it is going nuts off a long, solid base, the longer the better,
what else could you ask for?
Tim Fisher
tfish@spiritone.com
1995 President - Pacific Fishery Biologists
Keeper of the ORE-ROCK-ON Rockhounding in Oregon Home Page
http://www.spiritone.com/~tfish
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:55:44 -0700 (PDT)
From: Tim Fisher <tfish@spiritone.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] UTI - Why?
At 12:28 AM 9/15/97 -0400, you wrote:
>Having looked at the chart, I confess I am surprised at the
>strength in the stock. Maybe part of it is the 3:1 split, not many
>doing this large of a split, most are 3:2 or 2:1. DG Online is now
>showing 13.1 mil shares in the float, I presume this is post split
>from your data. As to the 5.9 mil shares to be sold, from your post
>this sounds like shares already existing, maybe now just being
>registered, so at a minimum already counted in the per share nrs,
>and not all may go to mkt immediately. I would guess that Monday
>and Tuesday will be the "test days" to see if the strength
>continues.
+2 on Monday - didn't see voulme but I assume it was high. I added to my
position at the open.
Tim Fisher
tfish@spiritone.com
1995 President - Pacific Fishery Biologists
Keeper of the ORE-ROCK-ON Rockhounding in Oregon Home Page
http://www.spiritone.com/~tfish
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:59:02 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Safety Components (ABAG)
Knew the co pretty well, was offered the chance to place a
virtually unlimited nr of their shares when they went public on NMS
at $10.00, then they discovered they were a "hot" issue, ended up
getting nothing and stupidly didn't jump on them in the aftermkt a
short time later when they announced a huge ordnance contract (an
often overlooked part of the co as it's not that profitable). At
the time they were supplying something like 40% of the airbags for
one component systems supplier (TRW??? sticks in my mind) who put
together the systems for about a dozen major auto makers. They were
building a new plant to make airbags in Mexico which was going to
double production. I was impressed with management, they seemed to
know what they were doing and were well positioned. Have watched
the stock off and on for the past several years, chart does look
interesting and will have to find a spot to add it to my watch
list.
BTW, welcome to the group, and thanks for the stock pick. DG Online
shows float at 2.2 mil shares, still small. I must admit, tho, I'm
shocked you let your wife throw away the Monday IBD on Monday!!
For shame, both of you! I'm all for recycling, but within reason,
for heaven's sake.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
- ----------
> From: Dave Kilty <KIlty@worldnet.att.net>
> To: canslim@xmission.com
> Subject: [CANSLIM] (no subject)
> Date: Sunday, September 14, 1997 11:24 AM
>
> Another lurker responding.My name is Dave Kilty.I've lurked here
on the
> digest version for several months and would like to say thanks to
all of
> you!!!This stock may already be too far from breakout but to me
it still
> looks good.IBD 93 88 A Five million shares outstanding;1.8
million
> float.Stock is ABAG.Would appreciate any insight and being as I
> subscribe to Digest version could it be sent to
kilty@worldnet.att.com
> TIA and of course disclaimer:I'm new to CANSLIM and I have a
substantial
> position in this one.
> Regards,Dave
> P.S.IBD numbers are from memory as my wife already took Mondays
issue to
> garbage.
>
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:24:38 -0700
From: Sam Funchess <sam5@mindspring.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] SOCR
What happened today Tom?
Sam
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:05:52 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
Gess, thanks for waving the magic baton over this "invisible ink"
post. Thought it was just me that couldn't see it. Anyway,
excellent explanation of how a margin acct works.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
- ----------
> From: Gess Shankar <gess@earthchannel.com>
> To: canslim@mail.xmission.com
> Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
> Date: Monday, September 15, 1997 7:55 PM
>
> On 15 Sep 97 at 18:27, John Nogueira wrote:
>
> > I've been thinking about opening a margin account with Datek
and
> > have a question that I hope someone can answer. (I've been
sending
>
> No, you would not be charged interest with a cash balance, but
will
> earn interest on the $30,000.
>
> Can you please turn HTML encoding when sending mail to the list.
Not
> every one reads mail with browsers. It is a pain to read tagged
text
> in mail.
>
> Gess
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:13:29 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Group Components
Depends on who's grouping you are looking for. WON once published
his group breakdown, as well as changes to it. However, in an
attempt to copy CANSLIM, too many other sources were "borrowing"
the info, so he quit publishing it. Keep in mind, tho, that all you
have to do is think of a single stock in a top performing group
(doesn't have to be a top stock in that group) and you can look at
the DG chart for that stock and it will show the top five stocks
for that group. As mentioned, you can also clip the list out of IBD
(I did that for several years, what a bore in a day and age of
computer technology!). For me at least, I am usually focusing on
the top five in a group anyway, so not as concerned at knowing the
members of the rest of the group.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
- ----------
> From: Jerry Sze <jerryz@orchidcapital.com>
> To: custserv@daulygraphs.com
> Cc: Canslim List <canslim@xmission.com>
> Subject: [CANSLIM] Group Components
> Date: Monday, September 15, 1997 11:50 AM
>
> Hi there,
>
> How can I find out the stocks making up each of the indutry
groups? For
> example, what is in the Elec-Semiconductor Equip?
>
> Thanks,
> Jerry
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:28:08 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] SOCR
Good question, probably all my fault, too, as I convinced a broker
at work to buy some at 11.5. Looked for some time later like that
was going to be the best he could buy it at today (in fact he only
got a partial fill at 11.5 as the low offer quickly moved away),
then the bid started dropping on light vol. Up to that point it had
done more than double the daily average, setting a new high in the
process.
I've still got some buying power left, and was tempted to pick some
more up at 11, but elected to wait till Tuesday (both for the
economic reports - calendar to follow, as well as to be sure my
acct doesn't get restricted for free riding MSON -there are a few
advantages to running the back office!). I suspect it was more a
case of short term traders taking profits when NASDAQ took a
reversal and went into neg territory (even tho a new high on
Russell 2000). Remember, I did warn that small caps would be
riskier and needed a tighter trigger finger. They don't have the
strong staying power of big institutional positions, and due to the
small float, can move in wide extremes on relatively small nr of
shares. The typical market maker on this stock is only good for
several hundred shares at a time at either the bid or ask. If he's
there by himself, takes nothing to move him out of the way.
I could find no news, so believe it was just technical.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
- ----------
> From: Sam Funchess <sam5@mindspring.com>
> To: Can Slim <canslim@xmission.com>
> Subject: [CANSLIM] SOCR
> Date: Tuesday, September 16, 1997 12:24 AM
>
> What happened today Tom?
> Sam
>
>
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:48:29 -0500
From: "Gess Shankar" <gess@earthchannel.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] eMail issues
On 15 Sep 97 at 21:05, Tom Worley wrote:
> Gess, thanks for waving the magic baton over this "invisible ink"
> post. Thought it was just me that couldn't see it. Anyway, excellent
> explanation of how a margin acct works.
>
Tom and everyone,
The problem with some of the unreadable messages is due to the fact
that many people now use mail clients which ship with browsers like
Netscape Communicator, IE and some Lotus creations, which foist on
HTML, MIME, weird attachments like vcards, dual encoding and whatnots
on the unsuspecting recipients with "legacy" email systems which play
by smtp rules.
May I request all of you to turn off the fancy features when posting
to the list? I run many mailing lists myself and this is one of the
most vexing problems I face as an administrator, as such things mess
up digesting, archiving etc. and sometimes crash older mail systems.
Gess
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:13:28 -0400
From: Craig Griffin <cagriffin@mindspring.com>
Subject: [CANSLIM] MSON - Non-Marginable
Tom and all,
At 09:25 PM 9/10/97 -0400, you wrote:
>MSON (Misonix) is a small cap stock, thus is not
>marginable. Tried to reach the company today to see if they have
>plans to list NMS ...
How can one tell if a stock is small cap or NMS (National Market System?)?
Is there a web site with this info. I had been under the (apparently)
erroneous impression that if a stock was listed or on the NASDAQ and traded
for $5 or more that it was marginable. But then, I have rarely held stocks
not in the NMS (I guess).
Thanks in advance for any info.
Regards,
Craig
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:15:27 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Economic Calendar, week of Sept 15, 1997
Reported today, MONDAY:
US Manufacturer's Profits up to average of 6.4% of sales in Q2,
up from 6.3% in Q1, and up from 5.8% in Q2 FY96. Profits on durable
goods declined, on non-durable goods increased. The annual rate of
return on shareholder equity rose to 17.9% from 16.8% in Q1, but
was down from Q2, FY96 when it was at 18.3%.
US nonfinancial debt grew at 3.7% rate in Q2, down from 4.7%
rate in Q1. Fed debt contracted at a 2.6% rate, while private
nonfinancial debt grew at a rate of 5.9%. State and local govt
borrowing grew at a 7.7% annual rate. Nonfinancial debt includes
borrowing by all sectors of the economy except banks, thrifts,
finance cos and other financial svcs providers.
TUESDAY
CPI, for August, was up 0.2%, expected up 0.3%, however core
expected at up 0.2% (if we stay within these nrs, and I think we
will, we should be ok)
Industrial Production, for August, was up 0.2%, expected up 0.6%;
Capacity Utilization expected to show a small rise to 83.3%. Again,
we need to stay within these nrs, and I think we will.
Business Inventories, for July (old data), was up 0.7%, expected is
up only 0.2%. I think this nr is a tad conservative, but should
still show a marked decrease in inventory increases over June.
WEDNESDAY
Housing Starts, for August, was 1.44 mil, expected only a minor
increase to 1.46 mil
THURSDAY
Trade Balance, for July (old data again), was a negative $8.2 bil,
expected is a moderate increase to neg $9.5bil. I am expecting
something more in the neighborhood of $10.3 to $10.4 bil, with the
US-Japan nr also expanding due the continued strength in the US-yen
ratio and the general problems with currency in Asia in general
(note, just today Kodak suggested that currency exchange rates will
impact its bottom line for latest qtr at about $550 mil).
Initial Jobless Claims, for week to Sep 13, last was 310,000 and
expected is a small increase to 320,000
Money Supply - M2, for week to Sep 8, last was an increase of $18
bil, expected is a decrease of $4.0 bil
I am not anticipating any alarming "inflationary" reports this
week, nor do I expect any Fed rate hike at this month's FOMC
meeting.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:30:04 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Earnings/Revenues Disappointments warnings
While most of the earnings and revenues commentaries being issued
by public cos during the trading day seemed decidedly positive,
those coming after the close had a nasty negative trend. Throughout
the day, Ascend (ASND) was suffering from brokerage houses
downgrading their prospects, warning of earnings shortfalls, and
cutting earnings forecasts. It continued to trade down to 32 in the
aftermarket, however rumors that it would preannounce a neg
surprise after the close had not happened as of 7:30PM. Adding to
the pressure was Eastman Kodak, which announced it would
approximate last year's results, meaning it misses this year's
estimates by about $1.00 a share. Not good. It was almost at 60 in
aftermarket trading, giving up 4.5 pts there. And it's in the Dow
30, so could account for an easy 10-15 pts down on the open for
that index if there is no rebound. Note, ASND made no comments that
I could find, everything was coming from analysts at various
brokerage houses.
Other companies warning of shortfalls included Amer. Pad and Paper
(AGP); York Int'l (YRK); Carriages Svcs (CRSV); and Proxim (PROX)
which recently broke thru its last support at 20. PROX had been
expected to report earnings of 17 cents, now expects to break even
for the qtr.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:39:21 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] MSON - Non-Marginable
Used to be that you could look in IBD or any decent financial
newspaper and they listed NASDAQ stocks in separate groups, NMS and
all others. Tried IBD after I discovered my mistake and they only
listed NMS. Don't know if it was just that day or is now policy,
but the "NASDAQ" section was not labeled as NMS only, so no way to
be sure. I should have used my computer at work, where I have a
"master security directory index", which would have told me, but I
was fooled by the price, made a stupid assumption from that, and
guessed wrong.
Price is not a positive criteria in whether a NASDAQ stock is NMS
or small cap. Best bet is probably to ask a broker if you can't
determine it from a newspaper listing, or else call the company and
ask them. If the stock has been NMS for at least 30 days, and is
over $5.00, it is likely to be marginable.
Keep in mind that even listed stocks, while marginable, may have
addl cash requirements. Stocks under $5.00/share typically have a
50% maintenance requirement (compared to 35% for higher priced
stocks). And stocks that slip under $3.00/share will likely have a
100% maintenance requirement (effectively are not marginable).
Likewise, if you buy an otherwise marginable stock below $5.00,
some firms may not allow margin on it unless it closes over $5.00
by either trade or settlement date. And this restriction may last
for the life of the position.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
- ----------
> From: Craig Griffin <cagriffin@mindspring.com>
> To: canslim@mail.xmission.com
> Subject: [CANSLIM] MSON - Non-Marginable
> Date: Monday, September 15, 1997 10:13 PM
>
> Tom and all,
>
> At 09:25 PM 9/10/97 -0400, you wrote:
> >MSON (Misonix) is a small cap stock, thus is not
> >marginable. Tried to reach the company today to see if they have
> >plans to list NMS ...
>
> How can one tell if a stock is small cap or NMS (National Market
System?)?
> Is there a web site with this info. I had been under the
(apparently)
> erroneous impression that if a stock was listed or on the NASDAQ
and traded
> for $5 or more that it was marginable. But then, I have rarely
held stocks
> not in the NMS (I guess).
>
> Thanks in advance for any info.
>
> Regards,
>
> Craig
>
------------------------------
Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:58:51 -0400
From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] ACTC - Applied Cellular
Forgot to mention this one earlier, had been watching it
consolidate and base out at the 6.5 level, broke out today on twice
avg daily vol, but may be failing b/o or just reloading as NASDAQ
backed up. Fits the pattern I am looking for on small caps. Not in
top 5 of its group (computer-software, may have been hurt by
Barron's -don't ask me what I think of this rag - article on MSFT).
Float is 1.5 mil, total issue only 2.3 mil shares, RS 86, but EPS
75, that's OK for me from the patterns I have been seeing as is
Timeliness at C. Did .19 last year, and forecast for .30 this year,
up 58%). Already did .12 thru 6 mos (up 150% and 133% respectively
for past two qtrs). Revenues for past four qtrs up 529%, 915%, 999%
and 999% (which means over 10X since the revenue increase field is
only 3 char long, was actually more like 1500% and 1300%
increases). Trailing and projected PE is higher than I like, but
with this kind of growth rate, I can tolerate it. Up/down ratio is
2.7, with no reported institutions having found it yet. Avg daily
vol is 245K, did 560K today.
Any statements or opinions are strictly my own and not that of my
employer. My comments should not be interpreted as a recommendation
of any kind. I am a licensed (inactive) broker and an active
investor. All investors should do their own research prior to any
investment, especially one learned about on the Internet. Hopefully
my comments will better inform and educate all investors.
tom w
------------------------------
Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:23:48 GMT
From: musicant@autobahn.org (Dan Musicant)
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] a question about margin
On Mon, 15 Sep 1997 18:27:18 -0400, you wrote:
:<HTML>
:I've been thinking about opening a margin account with Datek and have a
:question that I hope someone can answer. (I've been sending messages to
:customer support at Datek - but no one ever responds... I wonder if this
:has anything to do with the cheap commissions).
:
:<P>The question is, once I open a margin account, am I charged interest
:only when my "real cash balance" falls below zero, or always on 50% of
:the purchase price of my margineable holdings? For instance, suppose I
:have an account balance of $40,000 and buy $10,000 of XYZ. As far as I
:understand this, of the $10,000 used to buy XYZ, $5,000 would be my own,
:and the other $5000 would be from margin. Now, it would make sense to me
:that interest would not be accumulating at this point, since I still =
have
:a positive cash balance. But since I'm not completey sure, I'm basically
:asking whether or not I would be charged interest on $5000 used to buy
:XYZ.
You know, John, it's funny because I was wondering the exactly same
thing a couple of days ago. I opened a Datek account a few days ago
and got my email confirmation that my check had cleared on Thursday.
After reading the material I concluded that you will pay no margin
rates until you are actually *borrowing* money to buy a stock.
They have a button that activates your margin status. The default is
no margin buying until you click that button. The button prompt is "I
want margin!". Before you get to that you click a link called "Change
margin status." In that window you read the following:
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ----
Changing Your Margin Status=20
If you are not sure if your account is a cash account or a margin
account just check the upper left-hand section of your
Portfolio page.=20
A margin account allows you to buy or sell on margin and to sell
short. Trading on margin allows you to increase your buying
power and to borrow against the value of your securities. You can only
trade marginable stocks on margin or if you have any
short postions. To determine if a stock is marginable simply get a
quote on that stock at the Quotes and Order Entry page. If
there is a "Yes" under the M (for marginable), the stock is
marginable. For a more detailed discussion of margin please see
Understanding Margin.=20
Datek Online currently charges 7% APR, compounded monthly, on your
daily average balance for funds borrowed on margin.
Please be aware that once you have switched your account to margin,
you cannot switch it back to a cash account if any funds
are still being borrowed on margin. For this reason, you cannot change
your account from margin to cash through the Web. If
you would like to disable your margin capability please call our
trading hotline at 212.514.7124.
To change your account from cash to margin, simply click on the button
below. After you submit your request, your account
will be changed immediately. You can see if your account is a margin
account by checking the upper left-hand corner of your
Portfolio page.=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ----
If you read the above carefully the answer to the question can be
inferred to be found at "Understanding Margin." This is not so easily
found, but I did find it after poking around a bit. You can access it
whether or not you have an account by looking for the FAQ. Here it is:
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ----
UNDERSTANDING MARGIN What is margin?
When you trade on margin, you are taking a loan. The securities you
buy are the collateral for the loan. Like all
loans, you pay interest when you borrow funds on margin. Datek
Online charges 7% APR on the daily closing
balance, compounded monthly.=20
You can only trade certain stocks on margin. They are called
marginable stocks. You can see if a stock is
marginable by going to the Quotes and Order Entry page and getting
a quote on the stock. If there is a Yes
under the M, the stock is marginable. The Federal Reserve
determines if stocks are marginable and how much
the margin rate is =96 that is, how much you can borrow against the
value of the stocks. At present, you can
borrow up to half of the value of marginable stocks.=20
When you buy stocks on margin, part of the value of the stocks
is your loan. The other part is your equity.
You can find your equity on the Portfolio page. It is always equal
to the Account Value. The loan amount will
not change when your stocks go up and down in price. Your equity
will. For example, suppose you buy $10,000
of XYZ on margin. You borrow $5,000 (the full 50% allowed). The
remaining $5,000 which you contribute is your
equity. Suppose XYZ subsequently declines in value and your
position is now worth only $8,000. The loan you
have taken remains $5,000. Your equity, however, decreases to
$3,000. Likewise, if XYZ increased in value to,
say, $12,000, your loan would be static at $5,000 and your equity
would increase to $7,000.=20
The current margin rate, established by the Federal Reserve, is
50%. In other words, if you buy $10,000
worth of a marginable stock XYZ, you only have to pay $5,000 and
you can borrow the rest. Or, if you own, say,
$10,000 worth of a fully-paid marginable security, you can borrow
$5,000 against the value of that stock. If you
wish to purchase $10,000 worth of a non-marginable stock, you must
pay the full amount. And, similarly, if you
own $10,000 of a non-marginable security, you cannot borrow any
money against the value of that stock.=20
What if my stocks bought on margin decrease in value?=20
=20
UNDERSTANDING MARGIN How do I get margin?
You must enable your account for margin to be able to trade on
margin. To enable your account for margin, just
click on the Account Options link on the Order Entry page.=20
=20
UNDERSTANDING MARGIN Maintenance Call
At present your account requires additional margin as indicated on
the front of this notice in the Amount Due
column. To satisfy this requirement you must promptly send this
margin to us for credit to your account. In the
event that the necessary margin is not received by us by the "Date
Due", we will be required to liquidate
sufficient securities in your account to satisfy the call due at
the time of liquidation and to hold you responsible
for any resulting deficiency.=20
In addition, we will ask you to send enough money so that your
equity is greater than 30% of your account
value. We will send you a warning when your equity dips below 40%
of your account value.=20
In order to provide its low margin interest rates, Datek Online
reserves the right to close out your account
immediately if the equity drops to below 5% of the account value.=20
What if my stocks bought on margin increase in value? The loan
remains the same, but your equity increases.
=20
UNDERSTANDING MARGIN Shorting on Margin
Your ability to short on margin is dollar for dollar the same as
your ability to buy long on margin. That is, if you
have $10,000 in your account, you can either buy $20,000 of a
marginable stock to establish a long position or
sell $20,000 of a marginable stock to establish a short position.
On your Portfolio page, you will find that a short
sale or a long buy of the same dollar amount will affect your
Available Cash, Buying Power, and Account Value
exactly the same.=20
=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ----
:<P>On another note... today I bought Amazon.com (amzn - a non-canslim =
stock).
:I have been tracking this stock for about 2 weeks now, climbing ever =
since.
:And ever since the favorable review last week by the Motley Fool (<A =
HREF=3D"http://www.fool.com">www.fool.com</A>),
:I had been planning to supplement my Canslim stock(s) with this =
long-term
:hopeful. But I waited. Thinking the sharp run-up would be halted by =
profit-sharing...
:only to watch it jump another 17% on Friday. Darn... right??? But that's
:not the end of the story. I was determined to jump aboard. Though I was
:still weighed down by the thought of massive profit-taking, I decided =
that
:enough was enough... It's a long term buy - there is no reason to try =
and
:time this purchase. So I jumped aboard this morning. I did the right =
thing.
:
:<P>Hours later, Amazon.com fell 16% to 37 1/8.
:
:<P>I still think I did the right thing.
:
:<P>Any thoughts?
:
:<P>John Nogueira
:<BR> </HTML>
:
------------------------------
End of canslim Digest V1 #295
*****************************
To subscribe to canslim Digest, send the command:
subscribe canslim-digest
in the body of a message to "majordomo@xmission.com". If you want to
subscribe something other than the account the mail is coming from, such
as a local redistribution list, then append that address to the
"subscribe" command; for example, to subscribe "local-canslim":
subscribe canslim-digest local-canslim@your.domain.net
A non-digest (direct mail) version of this list is also available; to
subscribe to that instead, replace all instances of "canslim-digest"
in the commands above with "canslim".
Back issues are available for anonymous FTP from ftp.xmission.com, in
pub/lists/canslim/archive. These are organized by date.