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04291230three_day_forecast.txt
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:Product: 04291230three_day_forecast.txt
:Issued: 2014 Apr 29 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 29-May 01 2014 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 29-May 01 2014
Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
00-03UT 2 2 2
03-06UT 1 3 1
06-09UT 1 2 1
09-12UT 1 2 1
12-15UT 1 2 1
15-18UT 1 2 1
18-21UT 2 2 2
21-00UT 3 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 29-May 01 2014
Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 29-May 01 2014
Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts during Apr 29-May 01.