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MANUAL
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1994-01-04
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INFORMATION AND MANUAL: IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT YOU READ THIS ENTIRE FILE
TO USE THE INDICATOR PROPERLY.
=================== TICKTRAC Version 1.0 ========================
TICKTRAC is distributed under the Shareware concept which means that
you do not have to pay for it. You may make as many copies as you
want, and distribute it as you wish as long as it includes this 'README'
file unaltered. If you find the program useful, you are asked to make
a donation of $10.00 to the author. This is to help compensate the author
for time spent on programming of this and any future versions of TICKTRAC,
and to encourage the development of additional programs.
===================== LIMITED WARRANTY =========================
THIS PROGRAM IS PROVIDED "AS IS" WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EITHER
EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES
OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE WITH RESPECT TO
DEFECTS IN THE PROGRAM OR DOCUMENTATION. THE AUTHOR ASSUMES NO RISK AS TO
QUALITY AND PERFORMANCE OF THE PROGRAM. SHOULD THE PROGRAM PROVE DEFECTIVE,
YOU ASSUME THE ENTIRE COST OF ANY LOSS OF PROFIT OR ANY OTHER COMMERCIAL
DAMAGE. SOME STATES DO NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OF IMPLIED WARRANTIES SO THE
ABOVE EXCLUSION MAY NOT APPLY TO YOU. THIS STATEMENT SHALL BE CONSTRUED,
INTERPRETED, AND GOVERNED BY THE LAWS OF THE STATE OF OREGON.
THE ENTIRETY OF THIS PROGRAM IS BELIEVED, BY THE AUTHOR, TO BE RELIABLE
BUT IS NOT GUARANTEED. IN ADDITION, THIS PROGRAM WAS MADE WITH NO INTENTION
OF INFRINGING ON ANY TRADEMARK OR COPYRIGHT LAWS.
===================== IMPORTANT NOTES =========================
NO INVESTOR SHOULD USE ANY ONE INDICATOR TO MAKE INVESTMENT DECISIONS.
THIS PROGRAM WAS INTENDED TO BE USED AS ONE TOOL IN A BOX OF MANY. USERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO VERIFY THE VALIDITY OF THE RESULTS OUTPUT BY THIS PROGRAM
USING THE INFORMATION THAT FOLLOWS. TICKTRAC WAS INTENDED AS A SHORT-TERM
MARKET INDICATOR.
*************************************************************************
* INVESTING IN SECURITIES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. *
*************************************************************************
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
-- ABOUT THE PROGRAM --
TICKTRAC is intended as a short-term market indicator. It is based on the
closing value of the New York Stock Exchange Tick Indicator.
-- HOW IT WORKS --
To run the program: type TICKTRAC at the prompt of the directory that
contains the TICKTRAC.EXE file.
When you run the program the menu has three options: 1) Update Data
2) Show Evaluation
3) Print Output
4) Exit
Update Data: Choosing 1 at the menu will cause the computer to prompt you
for the date of the closing NYSE Tick that you are going to
enter. The date must be input in the format specified.(++ See
notes at end of this section.) Once you have entered the date
the computer will prompt you for the closing NYSE Tick for the
date that you just entered. This information is appended to
the TICK.PRN file. Enter either 'E' or 'e' to end inputting
data. NOTE: This program requires a minimum of 28 days worth
of data to function properly.
++ If you use one of the many satellite, cable, or dial-up
data services, the following specifications apply:
1) The file must be named "TICK.PRN"
2) The file must be located in the same directory as the
TICKTRAC.EXE file.
3) The date may be in any format as long as it is less than
11 characters.
4) The data must be in an ascii, space-delimited format:
Date_Any_Format Closing_Tick
Date_Any_Format Closing_Tick
etc... etc...
++ The author is familiar with several data services and the
software used with them. If you have questions regarding
how a particular service or software might work with this
program, then see the end of this document on how you might
get help.
Show Evaluation: Choosing number 2 at the menu causes the program to calculate
the indicator as follows:
A) A 10-day simple moving average of the Tick is calculated
by adding together the last 10 ticks and dividing by 10.
(Further referred to as S_MV_AVG.)
B) A 10-day exponential moving average is calculated using
the 10-day simple moving average as follows:
(Further referred to as E_MV_AVG.)
((.182 * (Todays_Tick - Yesterdays S_MV_AVG)) + Yesterdays S_MV_AVG)
C) After five days, compare todays tick with yesterdays
E_MV_AVG. If:
1) Todays_Tick > Yesterdays E_MV_AVG then give todays
reading a +1.
2) Todays_Tick < Yesterdays E_MV_AVG then give todays
reading a -1.
3) Todays_Tick = Yesterdays E_MV_AVG then give todays
reading a 0.
Keep a running total of the +1s, 0s and -1s. This is the
'on_balance_tick_line'.
D) After six days, calculate the five_day_momentum by sub-
tracting the value on the on_balance_tick_line five days
ago from the on_balance_tick_line of today.
E) Calculate the 5-day moving average of the five_day_momentum
by adding the last five(5) five_day_momentum figures together
and dividing by 5.
F) Lastly calculate the indicator:
(.333 * (Todays_five_day_moving_average - Yesterdays_five_day_moving_average))
+ Yesterdays_five_day_moving_average
G) After three days the data is ready to be evaluated.
The resulting data is stored in two files. The "OUTPUT"
file contains the date, tick and indicator in ascii
format, in the following order:
Date Tick Indicator
etc.. etc.. etc...
A second file, "SPRDSHT.FIL", stores only the indicator
in an ascii format like below:
Indicator
Indicator
etc...
The "SPRDSHT.FIL" is mainly designed for users who wish to
import this data into a spreadsheet program for graphing.
The following guidelines apply to the evaluating indicator
as a short term market indicator. If the indicator is:
1) = or > +2.50 the market may be overbought. Watch for a
correction within 4 trading days.
2) = or < -2.00 the market may be oversold. Watch for a rally
within 2 trading days.
3) Between +2.50 and -2.00 then the markets are neutral.
Print Output: Prints the "OUTPUT" file to your printer.
You can view the OUTPUT file on the screen in several ways:
A) In any ascii text editor.
B) If you have MS-DOS 5.0 or higher you can use the MS-DOS
editor by typing -> EDIT OUTPUT <- at the prompt of the
directory which contains the OUPUT file. (Remember that
any changes made to the file while in the MS-DOS Editor
can be saved and alter the file permanently.)
C) Also, in DOS you can use -> TYPE OUTPUT | MORE <- at the
prompt of the directory which contains the OUTPUT file.
Exit: Exits the program. (All information entered or calculated is saved any
time you are at the menu.)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
To make a donation or seek further information or assistance write to:
Ticktrac
5005 S.W. Murray
Suite 704
Beaverton, Or. 97005
(Donations are not required to get additional information or assistance.)