E.I.DU PONT 12/07/93 12/06/93 52-Wk-Rng FY/Q EPS93 EPS94 PE94 NxtQtr LyQtr E.I. du Pont 48.00 53-44 12/4 2.45 3.00 16.0 0.45 0.70 1. LOWER OIL PRICES HURT EARNINGS BY $0.07 PER SHARE FOR EVERY $1.00 PER BARREL PRICE REDUCTION. Analysts had looked for flattish oil prices. The near term reality is bearish. Analysts earnings reduction assumes that part of the recent $3.00 per barrel price reduction will be recovered next year. Clearly, in a more negative case EPS could be closer to $2.80 per share. 2. THE COAL STRIKE LINGERS ON THROUGH THE 4Q, HURTING EPS BY $0.07 PER SHARE PER QUARTER. Analysts expect it to end in time for contributions to resume by Q1, 1994 (based more on hope and press reports rather than on insights). 3. PRICING PRESSURE, OVERHEAD COST REDUCTION AND UNFAVORABLE CURRENCY REMAIN ISSUES THAT ARE NOT NEW. Look for gradually improving volumes next year and an abatement of the price/currency issue. The magnitude is impossible to predict at present. 4. CONSENSUS ESTIMATES ARE FALLING BUT TO A LEVEL THAT IS STILL A BIT HIGH. Consensus had been in the $3.50 to $3.70 range early on. It appears that recent revisions are bringing the consensus closer to $3.10. LINGERING DISAPPOINTMENTS ARE TO BE EXPECTED. 5. THOUGH THE STOCK LACKS NEAR TERM MOMENTUM, DUPONT'S VALUATION IS REASONABLE. DD S&P 500 PEER MEDIAN Yield 3.7% 2.9% 3.0% 1994 P/E 15.8 14.0 15.8 1994 Price/gross cash 6.4 9.4 8.0