$Unique_ID{COW00626} $Pretitle{261} $Title{Myanmar (Burma) Front Material} $Subtitle{} $Author{Frederica M. Bunge} $Affiliation{HQ, Department of the Army} $Subject{burmese burma government percent country political foreign national forces state} $Date{1983} $Log{Global Map*0062601.scf Figure 1.*0062602.scf } Country: Myanmar (Burma) Book: Burma, A Country Study Author: Frederica M. Bunge Affiliation: HQ, Department of the Army Date: 1983 Front Material Foreword This volume is one of a continuing series of books prepared by Foreign Area Studies, The American University, under the Country Studies/Area Handbook Program. The last page of this book provides a listing of other published studies. Each book in the series deals with a particular foreign country, describing and analyzing its economic, national security, political, and social systems and institutions and examining the interrelationships of those systems and institutions and the ways that they are shaped by cultural factors. Each study is written by a multidisciplinary team of social scientists. The authors seek to provide a basic insight and understanding of the society under observation, striving for a dynamic rather than a static portrayal of it. The study focuses on historical antecedents and on the cultural, political, and socioeconomic characteristics that contribute to cohesion and cleavage within the society. Particular attention is given to the origins and traditions of the people who make up the society, their dominant beliefs and values, their community of interests and the issues on which they are divided, the nature and extent of their involvement with the national institutions, and their attitudes toward each other and toward the social system and political order within which they live. The contents of the book represent the views, opinions, and findings of Foreign Area Studies and should not be construed as an official Department of the Army position, policy, or decision, unless so designated by other official documentation. The authors have sought to adhere to accepted standards of scholarly objectivity. Such corrections, additions, and suggestions for factual or other changes that readers may have will be welcomed for use in future new editions. William Evans-Smith Director, Foreign Area Studies The American University Washington, D.C. 20016 Acknowledgments The authors are grateful to a number of Burma specialists in the academic world, in the international community, and in various agencies of the United States government who gave of their special knowledge to provide data and perspective for this study. In particular they are grateful to David I. Steinberg, who shared generously not only valuable personal insights but also the resources of his specialized library. The contributions of Jon A. Wiant and Charles B. Smith, Jr., to this book are also gratefully acknowledged. The authors also thank members of the Foreign Area Studies staff who contributed directly to the preparation of the manuscript. These include Dorothy M. Lohmann, Kathryn R. Stafford, and Andrea T. Merrill, who edited the manuscript and the accompanying figures and tables; Harriett R. Blood and Farah Ahannavard, who prepared the graphics; and Gilda V. Nimer, librarian. The team appreciates as well the assistance provided by Ernest A. Will, publications manager, and Eloise W. Brandt, administrative assistant. Margaret Quinn typed the manuscript and gave valuable help in various phases of production. Special thanks are owed to Gustavo Arce, who designed the illustrations for the cover of this volume and for the title pages of the chapters, and to those persons who provided photographs, some never previously published. Preface This study replaces the Area Handbook for Burma, originally published in 1968 and updated in 1971, and reprinted in 1982 as Burma: A Country Study. Sufficient reason in itself for the preparation of a new edition is the passage of more than 15 years since completion of the research for the 1968 volume. Beyond this, however, there has been a significant liberalization of the constraints previously imposed on foreign journalists, research scholars, and others working in the country. This has made source materials more readily available, although given the long period in which little research was done on Burma, and some continuing constraints, significant gaps in the data still remain, especially relating to developments since the military takeover in 1962. The purpose of this study is to provide in a compact, convenient, balanced, and objective form an integrated exposition and analysis of the dominant social, political, and economic aspects of Burmese society. The authors have tried to give readers an understanding of the interrelationships of institutional structures as well as some insight into the attitudes and problems of the country and of its role in the world around it. Spelling of most place-names has followed official United States government maps and Burma Official Standard Names Gazetteer, No. 96 of the United States Board on Geographic Names, published in March 1966. Burmese practice in the use of personal names has been followed in the Bibliography and Index of this volume. Those who are unfamiliar with Burmese practice should note that there are no Burmese surnames, family names, or married names. Burmese have names of one, two, or three syllables, and these do not necessarily bear any relation to the name of the father, husband, sibling, or any other relative. The names are preceded by titles that indicate sex and that also take account of age and social position relative to the speaker. The most common adult title used to address or refer to men of superior age or social status is "U." More modest titles are "Ko" (elder brother) and "Maung" (younger brother). The female equivalent to "U" is "Daw," and that to "Maung" is "Ma." "Thakin," once a title of respect used for Europeans, was adopted by Burmese nationalist leaders in the pre-World War II period. Country Profile Country [See Global Map: Map of Burma on the Globe"] Formal Name: Union of Myanmar (1989). Term for Citizens: Burmese. Capital: Rangoon. Geography Size: 678,000 square kilometers; shares boundaries with Bangladesh, India, China, Laos, and Thailand. Topography and Drainage: Tropical environment composed basically of rich alluvial valleys and drier surrounding hills and high mountains, which separate country into strips of north-south ridges. Monsoon rainfall heaviest in lower part of country where wet-rice agriculture common. In upper part and in mountains, dry rice and other appropriate crops reflect lighter rainfall. Water also supplied by Irrawaddy, Sittang, and Salween rivers, flowing south from high heartlands of Asia to rich delta areas. Borders mainly mountainous, access difficult. Population concentrated near rivers or in coastline communities. Society Population: Unofficially estimated at 36 million in 1983. Average annual growth rate 1976-82 estimated at 2.4 percent. Ethnic Burmans about two-thirds of population. Significant minorities include Shans, Karens, Kachins, Chins, and Kayahs. Chinese and Indians also numerous. Languages: Burmese official language, spoken by nearly all segments of population. Non-Burmans usually speak own tongue as first language. English used frequently by older persons and those with higher education. Religion: Theravada Buddhism preeminent faith. Nine officially recognized orders within the First Congregation of the Sangha of All Orders for the Purification, Perpetuation, and Propagation of the Sasana, with some 113,000 monks. Hinduism and Islam also have substantial numbers of adherents, latter particularly in Rakhine State. Many Chins, Kachins, Karens, and others Christian. Animist beliefs persist in some areas. Health: Health care delivery systems improving but still limited. Estimated 0.2 physicians per 1,000 and 0.7 hospital beds per 1,000 inhabitants; sanitation poor and pharmaceuticals in short supply. Less than 20 percent of population has access to safe water. Education: Education free in three-tiered government system through university level. Traditional Buddhist monastic school now largely overshadowed by secular system. Competitive examinations determine entrance to postsecondary facilities. Emphasis placed on technical and scientific knowledge, regional two-year colleges, and correspondence courses, but prestigious degree from universities at Rangoon and Mandalay still widely sought by country's 65,000 college students. Economy Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Equivalent of US$5.9 billion in fiscal year (FY-see Glossary) 1981, or US$180 per capita. Real GDP grew by over 6 percent per year during FY 1978-81 period-over twice average for 1960s and early 1970s. Improved performance caused by increased foreign aid and credit, leading to heightened investment equivalent to some 20 percent of GDP in FY 1978-81 period. Resources: Tin, antimony, lead, zinc, silver, and other metals; jade and other precious stones; and petroleum and natural gas. Exploration of mineral resources far from complete. Fossil fuels mostly for domestic consumption. Excellent land resources, including some 10 million hectares of cultivated and fallow agricultural land, almost 9 million hectares of potentially cultivable land, and nearly 10 million hectares of reserved teak and hardwood forests. Potentially large offshore fisheries. Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry: Produced over 47 percent of GDP in FY 1981 and employed 9.2 million of 13.8 million people in labor force. Almost all farm production on private farms. Public and cooperative enterprises important in fishing and forestry. Principal products include rice-by far most important crop-sesame, pulses, and beans, groundnuts, cotton, maize, sugarcane, wheat, sunflower, rubber, tobacco, jute, teakwood, and prawns. Industry and Services: Mining and manufacturing produced about 11 percent of GDP in FY 1981 and employed 1.2 million people. Processed agricultural commodities, textiles, light manufactures, petroleum, and natural gas most important. Transportation, power, communications, and construction activities produced 8 percent of GDP and engaged 700,000 people. Remainder of production and employment in services sector. About 62 percent of mining and manufacturing, 68 percent of infrastructure services, and 32 percent of remaining services produced by public enterprises. Exports: Merchandise exports US$514 in FY 1981. Major categories based on FY 1980 ranking: rice and rice products (42 percent), teak and hardwood (25 percent), base metals (15 percent), pulses and beans (5 percent), jute (3 percent), rubber (3 percent), fish and prawns (3 percent), and other agricultural products (remainder). Imports: Merchandise imports US$858 million in FY 1981. Major categories based on FY 1980 ranking: capital goods (46 percent), raw materials (28 percent), tools and spare parts (16 percent), and consumer goods (remainder). Balance of Payments: Current account deficit US$328 million in FY 1981, about 5.6 percent of GDP. Repayments of interest and principal on foreign debt equivalent to over 28 percent of all export earnings. Exchange Rate: K7.81 per US$1 (November 1982; for value of the kyat-see Glossary). Pegged to value of special drawing right, an international reserve currency. Transportation: Some 4,385 kilometers of chiefly meter-gauge railroads, about 22,732 kilometers of roads, and over 2,000 kilometers of navigable rivers facilitate travel primarily in north-south direction through center of country. Railroad rolling stock often in poor repair, two-thirds of roads unpaved, motor vehicles and watercraft antiquated. Main ports: Rangoon and Bassein. Main airports for small turboprop and propeller fleet: Rangoon, Mandalay, Sittwe (Akyab), and Meiktila. International airport: Rangoon. Communications: Poor telecommunications system but developing rapidly in early 1980s. In FY 1981 some 14 telephones per 10,000 people, mostly in urban centers. Overseas satellite linkage. Some 43 radio receivers per 1,000 inhabitants in 1982, but only 400 television receivers in entire country. Radio transmission from one government-owned station only to populous areas. Government-owned color television station transmits in evenings and on weekends. Government and Politics Government: Based on 1974 Constitution. Under President U San Yu since November 1981, government divided into legislative, executive, and judicial functions. People's Assembly is top organ, but power actually exercised by State Council, top decisionmaking body. Governmental mandate renewed every four years through parliamentary and local elections. Politics: One-party political system under Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP-see Glossary). Party Chairman U Ne Win most powerful national leader, until 1981 also president and head of state. Party provides leadership at all levels of government; leaders hold overlapping positions in State Council, BSPP Central Executive Committee, and key units of armed forces. Ruling elite narrowly based in military. No organized opposition to BSPP owing to restrictive laws, tight government control of all mass media, and influence of security and party operatives in all sectors of society. Main threat to political stability posed by widespread insurgency and ethnic separatism. Administrative Divisions: Seven states and seven divisions at top of three-tier structure; townships in middle; at bottom, wards for urban areas and village-tracts for rural areas. Government authority tenuous in outlying border regions controlled by insurgents. Judicial System: Courts under Council of People's Justices, highest judicial authority. Under sweeping reform since 1972, justice administered under principle of popular participation, and judges from top to bottom of court hierarchy are elected laymen. In rendering decisions on criminal and civil cases, judges rely on professional trained lawyers and law officers attached to court. International Affairs: Withdrew from Nonaligned Movement in 1979, asserting that movement had lost sight of its original purposes. Burma still nonaligned and neutral, however. Maintains cordial relations with neighbors and major powers. Receives foreign assistance from international lending institutions; Japan, China, and Czechoslovakia; Federal Republic of Germany (West Germany), United States, and other major Western nations; and other nations. National Security Armed Forces: In 1983 People's Armed Forces totaled about 179,000. Components: army (163,000), navy (7,000), and air force (9,000). Conscription provided for under law, but in practice services maintained by voluntary enlistment. Major Tactical Military Units: Army had six light infantry divisions, two armored battalions, 85 independent infantry battalions, four artillery battalions, one antitank and artillery battalion, and one antiaircraft battery. Air force had two attack squadrons, two training squadrons, and various transport aircraft. Navy functioned as fisheries protection and coastal and riverine patrol fleet. Major Military Equipment: Domestic defense production largely limited to uniforms, small arms, and ammunition. Imported military equipment from variety of sources. Bulk of equipment aging, short of spare parts, or in need of repair. Defense Expenditures: Over K1.4 billion in FY 1981, representing 19.5 percent of total government expenditures, down from 1950s and 1960s levels of over 30 percent. Police and Paramilitary Forces: People's Police Force organized under Ministry of Home and Religious Affairs totaled some 58,000. People's Militia units under control of Ministry of Defense numbered some 35,000. Both forces assisted armed forces in suppressing persistent armed insurgency by communist and ethnically based groups. [See Figure 1.: Administrative Divisions, 1983] Introduction Union Day celebrations in Rangoon in early 1983 drew delegates from Burma's more than 60 disparate "national groups" to the nation's capital to participate in government-led ceremonies. Posters marking the occasion emphasized the spirit of unity among the varied groups, despite their evident cultural distinctiveness. To many observers, however, there could be no more vivid reminder that national solidarity in Burma was neither easily come by nor easily retained. Since independence in 1948, the country had been plagued by persistent dissension and rebellion arising, in part, from the separatist aspirations of a number of the minority peoples represented at the gathering. In Burma's single-party state, government and party rhetoric proclaimed the harmonious unity and equality of disparate peoples, yet the preeminence of the Burman ethnic majority in economic, social, and political affairs was clear. To the degree that other peoples participated in the mainstream of national life, it was in the context of Burman dominance. Burmans constituted perhaps two-thirds of the country's estimated 36 million people in 1983. Circumstances of history have contributed to the difficulty of party and government efforts to unify the nation. Over the past millennium, three dynasties dominated by ethnic Burmans succeeded for relatively brief periods in imposing their political authority over the area within the boundaries of the modern political state, and at times these dynasties expanded to the east and west considerably beyond those perimeters. Not until the Union of Burma was formed in 1948, however, had all the diverse peoples within its ill-defined borders formally been brought together in a single, if somewhat tenuous, federation. Moreover, among Burma's major ethnic groups, apart from the Arakanese, only the Burmans themselves are concentrated wholly within Burma. Shans, Mons, Chins, Karens, and Kachins are also found in various numbers in neighboring countries. Some ethnic minorities in Burma are also represented all over southeast Asia. The effect of geography in promoting diversity among people within Burma itself makes nationbuilding difficult, both socially and politically. Encompassing some 678,000 square kilometers-about the size of Texas-Burma in the simplest terms consists of two very different kinds of ecological settings. One is the more or less compact lowland area cut by the Irrawaddy and Sittang rivers, with which the Burmans and other lowland peoples have lived in symbiotic alliance as rice-growing farmers for more than 1,000 years. The other is an elongated horseshoe of high plateau and rugged mountain country inhabited by various "hill" peoples long settled in the area. For example, Shans have dominated the high plateau of eastern Burma since the thirteenth century, living in the alluvial valleys and hills of this upland region. Contact between Burmans and other lowland peoples and between Burmans and certain of the hill peoples has resulted in varying degrees of acculturation. Especially with respect to the hill peoples, however, contact has resulted less often in acculturation than in conflict and the perpetuation and reinforcement of ethnic differences. To a remarkable degree in 1983 ethnic minorities retained their own customs, languages, and historical and political consciousness. Many groups differed from the ethnic Burmans in religion as well. Some have adopted Christianity, introduced to Burma by Western missionaries in the nineteenth century, while others adhered to indigenous beliefs and practices. Among minorities sharing adherence to the uniquely Burmese form of Theravada Buddhism (see Glossary) practiced in Burma-a form that exhibits the influence of indigenous beliefs as well as of Hindu-Brahman doctrine-are the Shans and the Mons. The Mons, whose ancient kingdoms in the central lowlands may substantially predate those of the Burmans, are believed by some to have brought Theravada Buddhism to Burma from Ceylon (present-day Sri Lanka). Buddhism has been a pervasive force in Burmese society for millennia, although popular tradition stresses the eleventh century when it was established as the state religion by King Anawrahta of Pagan, monarch of the first and greatest of the Burman dynasties on the Irrawaddy riverine plains. Although in mid-1983 Buddhism was no longer the state religion, members of the sangha (monkhood) were deeply revered by laypeople as the ultimate living expression of the Buddha's teachings, and they continued to provide spiritual leadership. As the primary source of social values, Buddhism has been an enduring influence on life and thought and has strongly affected social, economic, and political institutions and arrangements. Independent Burma's civilian leaders described their new country broadly as a Buddhist welfare state; their military successors in the Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP) leadership have recognized Buddhism and socialism, with an admixture of Burmese nationalism, as the sources of their ideology. Nationalist spirit runs deep in the society. Burmese are intensely proud of their history and cultural tradition. Their name for the country bespeaks that pride: Myanma (literally, fast, strong) refers to the attributes of early forebears on the central lowland plains. Burmese cherish the recalled splendors of Pagan, with its myriad pagodas, monasteries, and shrines; and although the British deposed the last monarch at Mandalay in the late nineteenth century, Burmese still regard that city as the nation's religious and spiritual fountainhead. Burmese Buddhists see themselves as spiritually blessed and, in that sense, regard themselves as incomparably wealthier than Western societies. Comfortable in the country's nonmodern, non-Western identity, they are grateful to have escaped what they perceive as the decadence of modernity evident in some Westernized Asian nations. A corollary of this intense national pride is a preference for indigenous solutions to the task of nationbuilding. Another persistent theme of the independence period has been the intermittent insurgency by minority ethnic groups resentful of control by a Burman-dominated central government. The continuation of insurgency in many parts of the country-especially in border regions adjoining China, Laos, and Thailand-by ethnic minorities and members of the outlawed Burmese Communist Party (BCP), continued to present a serious problem to the regime in 1983. Many of these groups engaged in drug trafficking, smuggling, and other illicit activities as a means of support, as did other groups under local warlords, supplying a thriving black market. Apart from ending insurgency and thereby nurturing national solidarity, the chief priority of the national leadership in 1983 was promoting economic development on a basis of equity for all elements in the population. Burma's natural resources are extensive. The central lowlands are a rich and fertile area, given over in great part to rice cultivation. Raising enough food for the population has never been difficult except in wartime, leaving sizable surpluses for export. Teak, precious stones, oil, and minerals are found elsewhere in the country. Yet Burma numbers among the world's low-income economies, having a per capita gross domestic product equivalent to only US$180 in fiscal year 1981. The plentiful resources and produce of the country attracted the interest of British and French trading companies as early as the seventeenth century. British power in the subcontinent expanded during the seventeenth and through much of the eighteenth century with only limited interest in Burma. Meanwhile, however, Burmese royal forces invaded and subjugated Arakan (now Rakhine State) and made incursions into the Indian border states of Assam and Manipur. In 1824, after 25 years of border incidents, the British in India sent forces to resolve the problem militarily. The terms of the treaty settling the First Anglo-Burmese War forced the Burmese to give up claims to Assam and Manipur and to cede Arakan and Tenasserim to Britain, giving it a foothold on Burma's southern rim. Over the next 60 years, British hegemony over Burma increased by stages, culminating in the takeover of Upper Burma (see Glossary) and the deposition of the last Burman monarch at Mandalay in 1885. Under colonial rule the Burmese experienced social dislocation and widespread agrarian distress as foreign interests developed the country's oil, timber, and mineral resources. The Irrawaddy delta region of Lower Burma (see Glossary) was opened for rice cultivation, using Burmese agriculturists to accomplish the difficult and dangerous task of taming the jungle-covered area. Pioneering farmers soon fell victim to Indian moneylenders and absentee landlords, however, while Indians and Chinese monopolized the mid-level posts in the colonial administrative machinery under senior British officials, leaving only minor posts for Burmese occupancy. The inevitable result was the development among Burmese of a deep-seated resentment against these groups. So long lasting was its impact that in 1982 the Burmese legislature enacted a law denying Indians and Chinese citizenship status on an equal level with Burmans, Shans, Kachins, Kayahs, and other "indigenous" minorities. Resentment of colonial exploitation and maladministration contributed to the development of a nationalist movement in the early twentieth century, as Western ideas of nationalism, socialism, and communism found their way into Burma. A major nationalist organization was formed in 1919-the General Council of Burmese Associations (GCBA)-incorporating the Young Men's Buddhist Association, which had been conducting nationalist educational activities since 1906. During the 1920s the British granted a measure of self-rule, but a decade or so later, a group of intellectuals and Rangoon University students, disillusioned about Burma's circumstances and prospects, formed a revolutionary nationalist organization. This group, the Dobama Asiayone, launched a major strike at the university in 1936, in the process bringing to national prominence such men as Thakin Aung San, who was to lead Burma to independence, and U Nu, who was to become its first prime minister. Thakin Aung San was among the Thirty Comrades given military training by the Japanese, who occupied Burma during World War II. The recruits agreed to serve the Japanese in return for the promised postwar independence for Burma, but later, disillusioned with prospects for its realization, they switched to the Allied side. Supported by the anticolonial principles of a postwar British Labour Party government, Thakin Aung San, by then a general in the Burmese army, became the architect of Burma's independence. Envisioning a union in which formerly separated peoples would be joined in a framework providing for a substantial degree of diversity, he won Shan, Chin, and Kachin agreement to join with the interim Burmese government. Karens declined to do so; Burman-Karen animosities had been inflamed by colonial policies that granted Karens a separate voting roll in the national election and had recruited Christian Karens into the Burma Army to put down Burman-led rebellions. Before the country's independence was declared, however, General Aung San was assassinated. His successors emphasized minority participation within a framework of political and administrative centralization. Burma began independence as a parliamentary democracy under the leadership of U Nu. The 1947 constitution provided for a cross between a federal and a unitary system of government, and Shan and Kayah states were given the right to secede after 10 years. A coalition party organization, the Anti-Fascist People's Freedom League (AFPFL), had been formed in 1945, bringing together individuals and groups of various political persuasions-nationalists, socialists, and communists-who had shared in winning freedom for the country. Despite the all-embracing philosophy of the AFPFL, however, various groups and factions remained outside, gathering forces of resistance and opposition to the party and the state. Given the difficulty of finding an acceptable solution to the problem of political and ethnic diversity, it was not surprising that the new leadership was unable to reconcile the differences and that the resilience of the newly forged union was tested almost immediately. Within several months of independence, communist bands were in armed rebellion, seeking to overthrow the central government. Several months thereafter, elements of the Karen minority-the largest of the discontented ethnic groups-launched their own revolt, as did members of other ethnic minorities, all seeking a territory for their own group and greater decisionmaking authority in matters affecting its future. Wholesale Karen desertions played havoc with Burma's armed forces, and dissidents soon occupied much of Lower Burma and spread elsewhere. By 1951, however, in part because the insurgents were never able to unify their efforts and in part because of U Nu's determined response, the reconstructed armed forces had brought the insurrection substantially under control, although insurgents continued to dominate much of the countryside. The infiltration into Shan State of remnants of Nationalist Chinese forces beginning in late 1949 compounded concern over domestically rooted subversion, arousing fears that Chinese troops might pursue their defeated opponents into Burma. Burmese government actions alleviated these pressures to some degree in the mid- and late 1950s. The government also succeeded in gaining increased loyalty among certain hill minorities; but Karens and Communists continued to feed government concern over national stability and to arouse fears among the grass-roots population for their own personal security. Economic development made little headway. Overriding dependence on rice as a foreign exchange earner continued throughout the era of constitutional democracy (1948-62), leaving the country still highly vulnerable to fluctuations on the world market. The failure of AFPFL leaders to agree on plans and priorities inhibited efforts to carry out reconstruction. In the late 1950s troubles for the new state mounted rapidly. The AFPFL was torn by internal rivalry as opposition strength mounted. Shan dissidents demanded greater autonomy, mobilizing for a secessionist movement. Under an 18-month military caretaker government they went into open revolt, as did Kachins, joining forces in some areas with Karen and communist insurgents. The military amended the constitution to limit some rights of Shan feudal chiefs and paid them to surrender others. Returned to power in national elections in February 1960, U Nu formed a new government that set about to formulate new economic plans and to strengthen the base for democracy. A conference was set for early 1962 in which representatives of all groups would convene to discuss domestic problems, especially the issues of federalism and succession. In the meantime, however, U Nu had made good on a campaign promise to reestablish Buddhism as the state religion, exacerbating existing tensions by further alienating Karen and other non-Buddhist minorities. The most significant political event in independent Burma's history took place in March 1962, when forces under the command of General Ne Win assumed power in a bloodless coup. Calling itself the Revolutionary Council, the group suspended the 1947 constitution and began rule by decree, citing "economic, religious, and political crises with the issue of federalism [as] the most important reason for the coup." Military officers were put in place as department heads, while General Ne Win, as chairman, assumed full executive, legislative, and judicial powers. Moving quickly to consolidate its position, the council imprisoned U Nu, some of his cabinet ministers, and other presumed opponents, including regional separatists-generally without trial. By early 1983 U Ne Win had been in power for some 21 years and, with open, organized opposition or criticism disallowed and dissidence other than among communist and ethnic insurgents seldom expressed, his authority was assured. The Revolutionary Council had been disbanded after the promulgation of the 1974 Constitution, according to which the government is divided into legislative, executive and judicial functions; the State Council is the top decisionmaking body. Having resigned from the military, U Ne Win served as chief executive from 1974 until late 1981. In August of that year, he announced plans to retire as president after the October elections. He was succeeded by U San Yu, a retired army general. The real seat of power, however, continued to be the military-led BSPP, of which U Ne Win remained chairman. Making up the numerically dominant element in the party's Central Committee, the military manipulated the levers of power. An elite cadre organization in its formative years under the Revolutionary Council, the BSPP had been transforming itself into a mass party since mid-1971 as a means of broadening grass-roots support and political participation. The process had by no means been smooth, however. In 1973 and again in 1976 the party leadership had deemed it necessary to undertake mass purges of regular and candidate members, and an extraordinary party congress in November 1977 dropped more than 100 members of the Central Committee for "antiparty" and "antipeople" activities. Backed by a powerful security apparatus, whose several arms possessed wide discretionary powers codified in a 1975 antisubversion law, the BSPP gave strong emphasis to the maintenance of internal security. Most opposition politicians and ethnic separatists imprisoned immediately after the military takeover in 1962, however, were released within a few years, and thousands of government opponents, including U Nu, returned to the country from exile or were released from prison under a general amnesty order in 1980. But student strikes at Rangoon University had been twice rigorously suppressed, most recently in 1975; and in the early 1980s, in its efforts to maintain political stability, the leadership continued to close off avenues of criticism and dissent. As indicated in remarks by President San Yu read to Union Day delegates in 1983 by BSPP Joint Secretary General Brigadier Tin Oo, top political priority continued to be given to three long-standing objectives. These were consolidation of national unity, economic development through efforts by all Burmese in their respective territorial divisions, and elimination of insurgency through vigilance and continued cooperation with Burma's armed forces. In the intervening two decades since its assumption of power, the leadership had already taken a number of measures to promote national solidarity. Not the least of these was the establishment of the Academy for the Development of National Groups. At the academy, minority customs and cultures were nurtured and encouraged, and minority students, educated in these traditions and in other academic subjects to imbue them with "union spirit," were trained to serve as teachers and to carry out development work in the border regions. Another area of success in consolidation of support for national goals involved the sangha, whose members, reacting to the fall of the devout U Nu, had initially remained aloof from the military leadership. In 1965 the sangha refused to comply with the government-urged concept of membership registration. Its attitude shifted, however, as the BSPP and the government took measures to recognize the role of Buddhism in the society by various means, including the establishment of the governmental Department of Religious Affairs. Delegates to a mass Buddhist "purification" congregation in Rangoon in May 1980 agreed to the principle of carrying identification cards, as well as to form a national Buddhist council, which held powers to excommunicate monks who violated accepted standards of personal conduct and to discipline Buddhist orders judged to be teaching heresy. Economic development under military rule can be seen as having taken place in two stages. Programs and policies of the 1960s focused on the growth of heavy industry in a program emphasizing state ownership of the means of production and discouraging private investment. A 1963 nationalization law removed Chinese and Indians from strategic positions in the economy (causing many Indians to leave the country), and a 1964 demonetization law targeted the elimination of private savings, further reducing the position of Indians and Chinese. Failure of the overall program, however-later attributed in part by the leadership to overly rigid implementation-brought hardship and despair, especially to the Burmese population in the central lowlands. In the cities the population rioted over commodity shortages. A watershed was reached in 1971, according to Burma specialist David I. Steinberg, as a result of economic rethinking that took place during the First Congress of the BSPP. In the aftermath of the deliberations, a crucial decision favoring a liberalized approach to economic development was agreed on, which was given specific formulation in a document that continued to provide the basis for planning some 12 years later. Its pragmatic approach took cognizance of the plight of the consumer, stressed equity considerations, and envisioned greater stress on agriculture, mining, forestry, and fishing to reflect the country's natural advantages. A Twenty-Year Plan was developed to last until fiscal year (FY) 1993. Economic performance was sluggish initially, but by the period of the incremental Third Four-Year Plan (FY 1978-81), the economy was definitely on the upswing. The average growth rate rose according to plan by more than 6 percent per year, the agricultural sector alone by more than 8 percent. Behind the growth lay successful efforts to increase rice production through improved inputs and a turnabout of former reluctance to accept foreign aid, now provided as direct assistance and concessionary loans by a consortium of Western nations. This positive note was muted somewhat in 1983 by increasing concern over the foreign debt service burden and by lagging oil production. Over the long term there was reason for concern as well over various issues arising from the complex interaction between private and public production and marketing systems. The thriving shadow economy supplied a broad spectrum of society with consumer goods unavailable through legal channels, depriving the government of much-needed foreign exchange earnings and tax revenues. The migration of rural inhabitants to Rangoon and other urban centers, bringing additional pressures on an already overburdened job market, was an additional problem for authorities. Goods from the black market were furnished in part by ethnic insurgents and by BCP dissidents. By engaging in smuggling and drug trafficking to supplement whatever funds could be obtained from foreign sources, antigovernment rebels were able to purchase arms and equipment for insurgency operations. Although well before early 1983 these operations had been confined by government forces to remote and sparsely populated border areas, they nonetheless constituted a steady drain on public resources. Alongside the insurgent groups were various warlords, supported by private armies, and common criminals who also engaged in smuggling, banditry, and drug trafficking motivated purely by greed or lust for power. Burma's foreign policy under U Ne Win's leadership continued to be one of nonalignment, reflecting long-standing Burmese wariness of foreign entanglements. In September 1979 the country had withdrawn from the Nonaligned Movement, asserting that that body had deviated from its basic premise of strict neutrality. The leadership was committed to the establishment and maintenance of cordial relations with all countries on an equitable basis and exhibited a strong determination not to be drawn into any regional conflicts. While maintaining an independent posture and refusing assistance from either the United States or the Soviet Union on any significant scale, Burma was using to its advantage substantial help from a consortium of Western aid donors who offered both aid and concessionary loans. Burma still refused any form of private joint venture with foreign capital, however. In 1982 the country appeared to have no major foreign policy problems. Relations with China, vastly improved since the low point reached after the anti-Chinese riots in Rangoon in 1967 and eased by the absence of reports in 1983 of Chinese aid to the BCP, were correct and cordial. India loomed large in Burma's foreign policy perspective, if only because of its relative size and because of historic Burmese fears of assimilation. Population pressures in Bangladesh had made Rakhine State an attraction for those of its citizens who lived near the Burmese border; Bengali residents in Burma had not been an issue between the two countries since 1978, however. Much speculation centered in early 1983 on the related questions of post-U Ne Win leadership and the dimensions of possible policy shifts when the aging senior party official finally stepped down. In the meantime there was little doubt that U Ne Win enjoyed a considerable measure of popular support despite the authoritarian methods of his regime. The style of his rule was not out of keeping with traditional models of political authority in Burma and, whatever the case, many Burmese were grateful that their country remained independent and, unlike Afghanistan or Vietnam, had not been drawn into the orbit of superpower conflict. Beyond this, the strength of the BSPP, the absence of legitimate channels of opposition, and the significant economic strides of recent years worked in favor of the man who had succeeded in maintaining unity and viability for more than two decades. May 1983 Shortly after the manuscript for this study was completed, Burma was jolted by the sudden announcement that Brigadier General Tin Oo, confidant and possible successor to BSPP chairman U Ne Win, was resigning from his important government posts. Observers concluded that for one reason or another the former intelligence chief and third-ranking party figure had fallen out of favor with the aging U Ne Win, the country's long-time supreme leader. The action came amid a corruption scandal involving Tin Oo's close aide, Minister of Home and Religious Affairs Bo Ni, and charges that Tin Oo himself had indulged in lavish spending on a son's wedding. Tin Oo's quick defense of Bo Ni put his own case in a worse light. According to other widely reported rumors, the general's fall was attributable to his unpopularity with army field commanders or to disapproval of his zest for enlarging his own political power base. Many of the close supporters whom he had appointed to important positions were caught in the political shake-up that followed his resignation. By late July 1983, the BSPP had formally denounced Tin Oo, and the government prepared to take legal and disciplinary action against him. In early August he went on trial, charged with misusing the equivalent of US$250,000 in state funds and property. Tin Oo's fate gave new significance to the long-standing succession question. While some Burma-watchers opined that the general should not be written off altogether in the country's political future, nearly all agreed that rivals in the top leadership, particularly President San Yu and General Kyaw Htin, had moved up in the power structure as a result of the affair. However important, the circumstances on the domestic scene paled in comparison with another development in 1983-the October 9 terrorist bombing in Rangoon that killed 21 persons, including four cabinet ministers and other high officials of the Republic of Korea (South Korea). The South Korean diplomatic mission, headed by President Chun Doo Hwan, had been in the Burmese capital on the first leg of a five-nation Asian tour and had planned to lay a wreath at the Burmese Martyrs' Mausoleum where the explosion occurred. Delayed in arriving, Chun himself narrowly escaped assassination. The bombing was a source of major embarrassment and deep regret to Burma and to its people, who were sensitive to the country's failure to provide adequate security to a visiting foreign delegation and to the grievous consequences of the lapse. Burmese security forces immediately mounted an all-out campaign to identify the perpetrators of the monstrous act and bring them to justice. Within a few days of the attack, they had pinned down three "Korean" suspects, one of whom was killed and the two others captured in exchanges between them and Burmese forces. Both of the captured suspects had sustained serious injuries from explosions of grenades they had detonated themselves. On the basis of a voluntary confession from one of the two and other evidence assembled through intensive investigation-in which Burmese authorities were aided by South Korean intelligence operatives-the Burmese government soon announced that it had definitely established North Korean responsibility for the bombing and immediately severed diplomatic ties with P'yongyang. South Korea welcomed the Burmese decision to break off formal relations. Meanwhile, trial proceedings got under way against the two surviving suspects-North Korean military officers-who in early December were convicted of murder and sentenced to death. At the United Nations nearly half the member delegations supported the findings of the Burmese government and its conclusion of North Korean responsibility for the bombing. Frederica M. Bunge December 15, 1983