FROM SPACE ENVIRONMENT SERVICES CENTER, BOULDER, COLORADO
SDF NUMBER 188
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY.
ISSUED 2200Z 06 JUL 1988
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 5060 (S20W66)
CONTINUED TO SLOWLY DECAY. IT RETAINED ITS BETA-GAMMA-DELTA
CONFIGURATION, BUT PRODUCED ONLY ONE C5/1N FLARE AT 05/2157Z.
ITS OTHER ACTIVITY WAS INSIGNIFICANT SUBFLARES. REGION 5062
(S14W66) ALSO CONTINUED TO SLOWLY DECAY. IT RETAINED ITS BETA-
GAMMA CONFIGURATION AND PRODUCED ONLY POINT BRIGHTENINGS OR
INSIGNIFICANT SUBFLARES. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 5071 (N22E76)
ROTATED ONTO THE DISK AND WAS INITIALLY SEEN AS MULTI-SPOTTED
ALPHA-TYPE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. REGION 5060 PROVIDES A VERY SLIGHT TO SLIGHT CHANCE OF BOTH
HIGH AND VERY HIGH ACTIVITY LEVELS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS ACTIVE TO UNSETTLED. BRIEF MINOR
STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRED AT HIGH LATITUDES MIDWAY THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 JUL-09 JUL
CLASS M    30/30/30
CLASS X    10/10/10
PROTON     15/15/15
PCAF       YELLOW
IV.  OTTAWA 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 JUL  152
PREDICTED   07 JUL-09 JUL  145/139/136
90 DAY MEAN        06 JUL  130
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 05 JUL  005/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUL  012/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUL-09 JUL  012/015-012/018-010/015