FROM SPACE ENVIRONMENT SERVICES CENTER, BOULDER, COLORADO
SDF NUMBER 187
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY.
ISSUED 2200Z 05 JUL 1988
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 5060 (S19W54)
CONTINUED TO SLOWLY DECAY. IT RETAINED ITS BETA-GAMMA-DELTA
CONFIGURATION, BUT PRODUCED ONLY C-CLASS SUBFLARES WITHOUT
SIGNIFICANT RADIO ASPECTS. REGION 5062 (N13W49) ALSO CONTINUED
TO SLOWLY DECAY. IT RETAINED ITS BETA-GAMMA CONFIGURATION AND
ALSO PRODUCED ONLY INSIGNIFICANT SUBFLARES. NEWLY ASSIGNED
REGION 5069 (N23E53) WAS A SMALL BETA-TYPE; WHILE NEW REGION
5070 (S14E74) WAS INITIALLY SEEN AS AN ALPHA-TYPE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. REGION 5060 PROVIDES A VERY SLIGHT TO SLIGHT CHANCE OF BOTH
HIGH AND VERY HIGH ACTIVITY LEVELS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED TO QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 JUL-08 JUL
CLASS M    25/25/25
CLASS X    10/10/10
PROTON     15/15/15
PCAF       YELLOW
IV.  OTTAWA 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 JUL  166
PREDICTED   06 JUL-08 JUL  161/156/152
90 DAY MEAN        05 JUL  130
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 JUL  003/015
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL  003/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL  010/015-012/015-012/018