FROM SPACE ENVIRONMENT SERVICES CENTER, BOULDER, COLORADO
SDF NUMBER 166
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY.
ISSUED 2200Z 14 JUN 1988
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 13/2100Z
TO 14/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION
5047 (S15E72) WAS SEEN ROTATING ONTO THE DISK AT THE SOUTHERN
LIMB WHILE REGION 5048 (N37E73) WAS SEEN NEAR THE NORTHERN LIMB.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. THE VERY SHARPLY KINKED FILAMENT IN REGION 5036
(S18W48) STILL PROVIDES A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF MODERATE
ACTIVITY FROM THAT REGION.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS.
BRIEF MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRED AT HIGH LATITUDES HALF
WAY THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS DISTURBANCE PROBABLY WAS IN
RESPONSE TO THE C2/0F EVENT OF 11/0656Z WITH A COINCIDENT
CORONAL MASS EJECTION AND TYPE II RADIO SWEEP.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACTIVE TO UNSETTLED AS IT RECOVERS FROM THE
CURRENT DISTURBANCE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 15 JUN-17 JUN
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  OTTAWA 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           14 JUN  108
PREDICTED   15 JUN-17 JUN  103/101/100
90 DAY MEAN        14 JUN  124
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 13 JUN  006/013
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUN  018/032
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUN-17 JUN  015/025-012/020-008/018