FROM SPACE ENVIRONMENT SERVICES CENTER, BOULDER, COLORADO
SDF NUMBER 165
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY.
ISSUED 2200Z 13 JUN 1988
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 12/2100Z
TO 13/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 5045
(S36W02) AND REGION 5046 (N24E49) WERE BOTH SIMPLE ALPHA-TYPES.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 12/2100Z TO 13/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. A DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
THE FIRST DAY IN RESPONSE TO THE C2/0F EVENT OF 11/0656Z. IT HAD
A COINCIDENT TYPE II RADIO SWEEP AND A CORONAL MASS EJECTION
SIGHTING. BRIEF STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT HIGH LATITUDES.
THE BULK OF THE EJECTION WILL PROBABLY NOT HIT US, AND ONLY AN
ENHANCEMENT OF THE FIELD IS EXPECTED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 14 JUN-16 JUN
CLASS M    08/05/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  OTTAWA 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           13 JUN  112
PREDICTED   14 JUN-16 JUN  106/103/101
90 DAY MEAN        13 JUN  124
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 12 JUN  004/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUN  007/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUN-16 JUN  012/025-016/025-014/020