:Product: 04281230three_day_forecast.txt
:Issued: 2014 Apr 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 28-Apr 30 2014 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 28-Apr 30 2014

            Apr 28     Apr 29     Apr 30
00-03UT        2          2          2     
03-06UT        3          3          3     
06-09UT        2          2          2     
09-12UT        2          2          2     
12-15UT        1          2          2     
15-18UT        1          2          2     
18-21UT        2          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 28-Apr 30 2014

              Apr 28  Apr 29  Apr 30
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 28-Apr 30 2014

              Apr 28        Apr 29        Apr 30
R1-R2           10%           10%           10%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.